Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Tondela vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Tondela vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Goncalves (Portugal)
9 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 7.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan FC Arouca H 3–1 W
21 Dec Casa Pia AC H 1–2 L
15 Dec CD Nacional A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Porto H 0–2 L
29 Nov Gil Vicente FC A 1–0 W
08 Nov Vitória SC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L
28 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
21 Dec CD Santa Clara A 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Alverca H 1–0 W
07 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–3 L
01 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–4 L

Season Stats

CD Tondela FC Arouca
#17 Position #8
28 Points 42
34 Played 34
6 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
27 Scored 47
55 Conceded 64
-28 GD -17
0.82 PPG 1.24
18% Win % 35%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
CD Tondela this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CD Tondela are 17th (28 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Tondela
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
1/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CD Tondela Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 CD Tondela xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: CD Tondela or FC Arouca 74% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Tondela41% Draw26% FC Arouca33%
Actual: CD Tondela win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

CD Tondela or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Arouca
59%
CD Tondela or FC Arouca
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Tondela28% Draw44% FC Arouca28%
Actual: CD Tondela win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — CD Tondela

Handicap CD Tondela covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
23%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.