AVS vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AVS vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .
Match Details
- Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
20 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | FC Arouca | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Jan | Moreirense FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | FC Porto | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Dec | CD Nacional | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–6 | L |
| 06 Dec | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | AVS | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Jan | CD Tondela | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Dec | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Dec | FC Alverca | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AVS | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #8 |
| 21 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 3 / 12 / 19 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 27 | Scored | 47 |
| 67 | Conceded | 64 |
| -40 | GD | -17 |
| 0.62 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 9% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
AVS this season
AVS this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
AVS are 18th (21 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AVS
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
AVS Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.05
AVS xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
FC Arouca xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
AVS or Draw
51%
Draw or FC Arouca
76%
AVS or FC Arouca
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Arouca win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — AVS
| Handicap | AVS covers | Push | FC Arouca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 23% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
AVS keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

