EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
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Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 15 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 17 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 SE Palmeiras 16 35 2 CR Flamengo 15 31 3 Fluminense FC 16 30 4 Sao Paulo FC 17 27 5 CA Paranaense 16 24 6 EC Bahia 15 23 7 Coritiba FBC 16 23 8 RB Bragantino 16 23 9 EC Vitoria 16 22 10 SC Internacional 17 21 11 Botafogo FR 16 21 12 CA Mineiro 16 21 13 CR Vasco da Gama 16 20 14 Cruzeiro EC 16 20 15 Gremio FBPA 16 18 16 Santos FC 16 18 17 SC Corinthians Paulista 16 18 18 Clube do Remo 16 15 19 Mirassol FC 15 13 20 Chapecoense AF 15 9 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 17 May Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D 10 May Cruzeiro EC H 1–2 L 03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D 25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D 19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L 11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 16 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L 10 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–3 L 03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D 26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W 18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L 11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L Season Stats
EC Bahia Sao Paulo FC #6 Position #4 23 Points 27 15 Played 17 6 / 5 / 4 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 6 21 Scored 23 19 Conceded 18 +2 GD +5 1.53 PPG 1.59 40% Win % 47% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history27% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season25% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this seasonEC Bahia are 6th (23 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 4th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia0-151/–16-301/331-451/346-601/–61-753/276+5/2■ Scored ■ ConcededSao Paulo FC0-152/–16-302/331-451/246-60–/361-752/276+4/3■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
EC BahiaLuciano Juba 7 G 1 A Willian Jose 3 G 1 A Everaldo 3 G Sao Paulo FCJonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A Luciano 5 G 1 A Ferreira 4 G -
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Luciano 6 Edigar Junio 2 Willian Jose 2 Edigar Junio 2 Ferreira 2 Diego Souza 1 Lucas Moura 1 Rossi 1 Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
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1.41 EC Bahia xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.5 Sao Paulo FC xGI would bet for: EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.91Over / Under Goals
Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 55% 45% ± 3.5 33% 67% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw 65%Draw or Sao Paulo FC 62%EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC 73%Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1 12.4%1 – 2 8.3%2 – 1 7.8%0 – 1 7.3%0 – 0 7.2%1 – 0 6.8%0 – 2 6%2 – 2 5.9%2 – 0 5.4%1 – 3 4.2%3 – 1 3.7%2 – 3 3%Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers -2.5 6% — 94% -2 6% 10% 84% -1.5 16% — 84% -1 16% 18% 66% -0.5 34% — 66% +0.5 62% — 38% +1 62% 19% 19% +1.5 81% — 19% +2 81% 12% 7% +2.5 93% — 7% Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet 23%Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet 25%Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.