Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 25 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 25 |
| 20 | Conceded | 23 |
| +3 | GD | +2 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 39% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Sao Paulo FC is hosting EC Bahia for another epic battle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 7' What composure from Luciano! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 17' Alan Franco has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Maik. He receives a card.
- 31' A moment of madness from David Duarte on 31 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 36' Ademir Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 41' Damian Bobadilla has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
- 46' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Tiago departs to be replaced by Mateo Sanabria.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano will be fuming at that decision.
- 59' Kayky has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateo Sanabria on 59 minute.
- 60' Erick has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gilberto on 60 minute.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' The crowd applauds Lucas Moura as he leaves the pitch. Gonzalo Tapia steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 71' Maik, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 76' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 78' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Pablo Maia is replaced by Luiz Gustavo on 78 minute.
- 79' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ferreira is hanging Luciano on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 87' Felipe Negrucci is replacing Damian Bobadilla for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 90' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
- 7
- 20
- 28
- 35
- 13
- 29
- 23
- 21
- 42
Bench
- 25
- 16
- 77
- 11
- 36
- 22
- 15
- 50
- 43
- 14
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
- 7
- 12
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Gilberto 46'
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↓ Luciano Juba 46'
- 11
- 33
- 21
- 26
-
77
Tiago ↓ Mateo Sanabria 46'
Bench
-
2
Gilberto ↑ 46'
- 4
- 8
- 1
- 14
-
46
Luciano Juba ↑ 46'
- 15
- 37
- 5
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 46'
- 3
- 66
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
| Luciano Juba | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or EC Bahia
46%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.