EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC has kicked off!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Bahia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Jean Lucas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Bahia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 53' Assisted by Erick with the perfectly-timed delivery and Willian Jose makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 58' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Luciano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 68' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Nicolas Acevedo comes on to replace Caio Alexandre.
- 69' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Wendell has done his job and it is now time for Lucca Marques to step up.
- 73' Willian Jose is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 78' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Luciano Rodriguez comes on to replace Willian Jose.
- 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
- 85' A stunning finish from Luciano — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 87' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 87.
- 88' Rodrigo Huendra is replacing Pablo Maia for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 89' Santiago Arias has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gilberto on 89 minute.
- 90' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Rodrigo Huendra will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Henrique Fabiano on, Lucas Ferreira off on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 68'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 89'
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 89'
- 25
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 3
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
-
6
Cedric ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 69'
-
18
Wendell ↓ Lucca Marques 69'
- 35
- 13
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Rodrigo Huendra 88'
- 23
- 21
- 49
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 28
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 69'
- 36
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 88'
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 90'
- 42
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 69'
- 39
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
71%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
57%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.