EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 27 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 27 |
| 25 | Conceded | 26 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 36% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. EC Bahia get us underway at Arena Fonte Nova.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 373 games and scored 407 goals.
- 15' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact .
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luciano made 389 appearances and scored 63 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Pablo Maia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gilberto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Bahia.
- 45' Santiago Ramos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 50' Marcos Felipe, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 53' Willian Jose puts EC Bahia on the lead.
- 58' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano.
- 64' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Acevedo. He replaces Caio Alexandre on 68 minute.
- 69' The crowd applauds Wendell as he leaves the pitch. Lucca Marques steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 73' Willian Jose has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 73 minutes.
- 78' EC Bahia make a change. Willian Jose trudges off to be replaced by Luciano Rodriguez on 78 minutes.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' GOAL! Luciano scores on 85.
- 87' Poor challenge from Kayky. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Pablo Maia exits the field as Rodrigo Huendra enters on 88.
- 89' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Gilberto exits the field as Santiago Arias enters on 89.
- 90' Rodrigo Huendra was booked on 90.
- 90' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Henrique Fabiano is hanging Lucas Ferreira on the field on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for EC Bahia players.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↓ Michel Araujo 68'
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 68'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Santiago Arias 89'
- 22
- 12
- 33
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
- 96
- 8
-
13
Santiago Arias ↑ 89'
- 25
- 11
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 68'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 68'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 68'
- 3
- 77
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 78'
- 83
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 5
-
6
Cedric ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 69'
-
18
Wendell ↓ Lucca Marques 69'
- 35
- 13
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Rodrigo Huendra 88'
- 23
- 21
- 49
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 28
-
32
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 69'
- 36
-
15
Rodrigo Huendra ↑ 88'
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 90'
- 42
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 69'
- 39
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Santiago Trellez | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
55%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.