EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Guilherme Dias (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 5–6 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 41% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Arena Fonte Nova. Ninety minutes of football awaits between EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gabriel Xavier, as he is very good at scoring at Arena Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 36' Marcos Antonio is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
- 41' A stunning finish from Luiz Gustavo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' The 26-year-old Luciano Juba has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Jean Lucas.
- 55' Poor challenge from Jose Sabino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 59' Robert Arboleda is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jamal Lewis at the 59 minute mark.
- 61' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 61' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Jean Lucas departs to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo.
- 62' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Cauly is replaced by Rafael Ratao.
- 63' The crowd applauds Ferreira as he leaves the pitch. Wellington Rato steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 66' GOAL! Wellington Rato scores on 66. Assisted by Luciano
- 70' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Caio Alexandre is replaced by Carlos De Pena on 70 minute.
- 75' EC Bahia are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 80' Rodrigo Nestor, a Brazil , has 26 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 81' Gabriel Xavier was booked on 81.
- 82' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rafinha comes on to replace Igor Vinicius.
- 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 371 games and scored 405 goals.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 61'
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everaldo 62'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
- 13
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 70'
- 46
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 20
- 2
- 31
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 70'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 61'
- 23
- 77
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 82'
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Rafinha 82'
- 7
-
3
Jamal Lewis ↓ Robert Arboleda 59'
- 16
- 9
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↓ Liziero 59'
- 28
- 35
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Wellington Rato 63'
- 23
Bench
- 33
- 93
-
5
Robert Arboleda ↑ 59'
-
26
Liziero ↑ 59'
-
13
Rafinha ↑ 82'
- 17
- 32
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 82'
- 22
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 63'
- 39
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Wellington Rato | 1 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
55%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
74%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

