EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 22 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Guilherme Dias (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Luiz Claudio Regazzone
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 22 | 30 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | Gremio FBPA | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Santos FC | 22 | 23 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 22 | 23 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Cuiaba EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 5–6 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 34 | Points | 27 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 26 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 35% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Arena Fonte Nova will turn into a battlefield for EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 36' The referee calls foul for Marcos Antonio. He receives a card.
- 41' Luiz Gustavo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 373 games and scored 407 goals.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Jean Lucas is booked for EC Bahia — card on 51.
- 55' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 59' Jamal Lewis makes way for Robert Arboleda at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 61' Kanu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 61' Nicolas Acevedo is replacing Jean Lucas for the EC Bahia side.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Ratao. He replaces Cauly on 62 minute.
- 63' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Ferreira is replaced by Wellington Rato on 63 minute.
- 66' Wellington Rato doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 70' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Caio Alexandre exits the field as Carlos De Pena enters on 70.
- 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Sao Paulo FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 81' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Xavier.
- 82' Sao Paulo FC make a change. Igor Vinicius trudges off to be replaced by Rafinha on 82 minutes.
- 87' Brazil international Cauly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- Another three points for Sao Paulo FC.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 61'
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Everaldo 62'
- 22
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 62'
- 13
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Carlos De Pena 70'
- 46
- 3
- 17
Bench
- 20
- 2
- 31
- 15
- 40
-
21
Rafael Ratao ↑ 62'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 62'
-
14
Carlos De Pena ↑ 70'
- 33
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 61'
- 23
- 77
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 82'
-
2
Igor Vinicius ↓ Rafinha 82'
- 7
-
3
Jamal Lewis ↓ Robert Arboleda 59'
- 16
- 9
-
20
Marcos Antonio ↓ Liziero 59'
- 28
- 35
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Wellington Rato 63'
- 23
Bench
- 33
- 93
-
5
Robert Arboleda ↑ 59'
-
26
Liziero ↑ 59'
-
13
Rafinha ↑ 82'
- 17
- 32
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 82'
- 22
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 63'
- 39
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Shaylon | 1 |
| Lizeiro | 1 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
56%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
73%
EC Bahia or Sao Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

