Sunday , 6 September 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

2 2
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Artur Guimaraes 17' 1–0
1–1 62' Luciano Juba
Ferreira 73' 2–1
2–2 90+7' Erick

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC BahiaSerie A at Morumbi.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia
#10 Position #5
33 Points 43
25 Played 26
9 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 5
31 Scored 40
28 Conceded 32
+3 GD +8
1.32 PPG 1.65
36% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Sao Paulo FC are 10th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
/8
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 8 G 1 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Jean Lucas 3 G 3 A
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against São Paulo FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His São Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' A stunning finish from Artur Guimaraes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Luciano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 375 games and scored 409 goals.
  • 37' The home supporters are growing impatient. São Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Acevedo is booked for EC Bahia — card on 41.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Damian Bobadilla. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 62' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano Juba! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
  • 67' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 72' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 73' Ferreira does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
  • 78' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' Enzo Diaz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean Lucas, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Mateo Sanabria on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC48% Draw26% EC Bahia26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC35% Draw44% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.