Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 2
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 3 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Artur Guimaraes 17' 1–0
1–1 62' Luciano Juba
Ferreira 73' 2–1
2–2 90+7' Erick
Y 41' Nicolas Acevedo
Damian Bobadilla 45' Y
Enzo Diaz 81' Y
Y 90' Mateo Sanabria
Jonathan Calleri 90' Y
Y 90' Erick
Andre Silva 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

7
8
3
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia 2025-10-26 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Bahia 2025-05-31 EC Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo FC 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia
#12 Position #5
27 Points 34
22 Played 23
7 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 10 / 5
27 Scored 30
26 Conceded 26
+1 GD +4
1.23 PPG 1.48
32% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Sao Paulo FC are 12th (27 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sao Paulo FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 17' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Artur Guimaraes on 17.
  • 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' Sao Paulo FC have won 405 goals from 371 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Acevedo on 41.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Damian Bobadilla gets a card.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roger Machado might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 62' Luciano Juba doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everton Ribeiro, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' Against the run of play, Ferreira has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Roger Machado will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 81.
  • 86' Sao Paulo FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 90' Mateo Sanabria was booked on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roger Machado

EC Bahia Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 6
Edigar Junio 2
Willian Jose 2
Edigar Junio 2
Ferreira 2
Diego Souza 1
Lucas Moura 1
Rossi 1

Head to Head

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia 2025-10-26 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Bahia 2025-05-31 EC Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo FC 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-26 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-04-18 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-04-11 EC Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-04-04 Sao Paulo FC 4–1 Cruzeiro EC W 2026-04-01 SC Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D

EC Bahia Form

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-25 EC Bahia 2–2 Santos FC D 2026-04-19 CR Flamengo 2–0 EC Bahia L 2026-04-11 Mirassol FC 1–2 EC Bahia W 2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2026-04-01 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Paranaense W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC48% Draw26% EC Bahia26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC35% Draw45% EC Bahia20%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.