Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 25 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 26 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
- Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season
🟨 2.9/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 26 | 52 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 26 | 46 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 26 | 45 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 26 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 26 | 40 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 26 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 25 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 35 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 25 | 33 |
| 11 | Santos FC | 25 | 32 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 26 | 28 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 26 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 25 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 26 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 43 |
| 25 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 5 |
| 31 | Scored | 40 |
| 28 | Conceded | 32 |
| +3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 36% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Sao Paulo FC are 10th (33 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
–/8
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 8 G | 1 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against São Paulo FC and EC Bahia has kicked off!
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and EC Bahia are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His São Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 17' A stunning finish from Artur Guimaraes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 22' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' Luciano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
- 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 375 games and scored 409 goals.
- 37' The home supporters are growing impatient. São Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Acevedo is booked for EC Bahia — card on 41.
- 45' Poor challenge from Damian Bobadilla. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 50' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 62' A goal from the Brazil international Luciano Juba! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
- 67' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 73' Ferreira does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
- 78' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' Enzo Diaz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jean Lucas, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 90' A moment of madness from Mateo Sanabria on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 37
- 18
- 80
- 9
- 28
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 16
- 94
Bench
- 33
- 21
- 7
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 31
- 4
- 54
- 48
- 14
- 45
Coach
Roger Machado
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 12
- 22
- 14
- 33
- 21
- 46
- 5
- 16
- 99
Bench
- 7
- 2
- 4
- 25
- 34
- 27
- 11
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 3
- 31
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 1 |
| Santiago Trellez | 1 |
| Rossi | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

