Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Sao Paulo FC
2 – 2
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 3 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Artur Guimaraes 17' 1–0
1–1 62' Luciano Juba
Ferreira 73' 2–1
2–2 90+7' Erick
Y 41' Nicolas Acevedo
Damian Bobadilla 45' Y
Enzo Diaz 81' Y
Y 90' Mateo Sanabria
Jonathan Calleri 90' Y
Y 90' Erick
Andre Silva 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

7
8
3
Sao Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia 2025-10-26 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Bahia 2025-05-31 EC Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo FC 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Bahia
#8 Position #6
25 Points 26
18 Played 17
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
23 Scored 25
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD +2
1.39 PPG 1.53
39% Win % 41%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, EC Bahia does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wendell, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' What a strike from Artur Guimaraes! The score is 1-0.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luciano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with EC Bahia winning 0% of all matches.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Acevedo. He receives a card.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Damian Bobadilla gets a card.
  • 50' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' GOAL! Luciano Juba scores on 62.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' Erick needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 73' What a strike from Ferreira! The score is 2-1.
  • 78' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Diaz.
  • 86' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Leo Vieira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The referee shows EC Bahia player a card on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roger Machado

EC Bahia Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano 6
Ferreira 2
Edigar Junio 2
Willian Jose 2
Edigar Junio 2
Diego Souza 1
Lucas Moura 1
Rossi 1

Head to Head

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia 2025-10-26 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 EC Bahia 2025-05-31 EC Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo FC 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-26 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-04-18 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-04-11 EC Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2026-04-04 Sao Paulo FC 4–1 Cruzeiro EC W 2026-04-01 SC Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D

EC Bahia Form

2026-05-03 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-25 EC Bahia 2–2 Santos FC D 2026-04-19 CR Flamengo 2–0 EC Bahia L 2026-04-11 Mirassol FC 1–2 EC Bahia W 2026-04-05 EC Bahia 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2026-04-01 EC Bahia 3–0 CA Paranaense W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC50% Draw25% EC Bahia25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Bahia
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw44% EC Bahia19%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.