Sunday , 25 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Sheffield Wednesday FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Sheffield Wednesday FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Langford
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 5.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–1 W
24 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–4 L
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
28 Feb Southampton FC H 1–3 L
25 Feb Norwich City FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
14 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
08 Feb Swansea City AFC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
9% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Sheffield Wednesday FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Sheffield Wednesday FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC52% Draw25% Sheffield Wednesday FC23%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday FC
48%
Derby County FC or Sheffield Wednesday FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw45% Sheffield Wednesday FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Sheffield Wednesday FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Sheffield Wednesday FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.