CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- Gil Vicente FC 34 games · 50 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Moreirense FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | CD Santa Clara | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Gil Vicente FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #6 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 13 / 11 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 47 |
| 45 | Conceded | 38 |
| -8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
35%
Clean Sheets
Gil Vicente FC this season
Gil Vicente FC this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Gil Vicente FC are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gil Vicente FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CD Nacional and Gil Vicente FC get this one started.
- 5' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Fuki Yamada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' Felix Correia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi. He receives a card.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tidjany Toure, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gil Vicente FC that had 238 games and scored 266 goals.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Gil Vicente FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' A moment of madness from Rui Encarnacao on 46 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
- 46' The whistle greets Tidjany Toure as he departs to be replaced by Joao Marques.
- 51' Gil Vicente FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' It is a substitution in Gil Vicente FC team. Jorge Aguirre is replaced by Pablo Felipe on 56 minute.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and Gil Vicente FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 65' What composure from Pablo Felipe! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 67' A change in the Gil Vicente FC ranks — Facundo Caseres exits the field as Santi Garcia enters on 67.
- 72' The 24-year-old Santi Garcia has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' Another change for CD Nacional made on 74 minute. Jose Gomes leaves to be changed by Arvin Appiah.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mohamed Bamba on 75 minutes.
- 75' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Ruben Macedo on, Fuki Yamada off on 75 minutes.
- 80' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Gil Vicente FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 85' Felix Correia does the damage! The net is bulging and Gil Vicente FC surge ahead!
- 85' Jordi Mboula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Correia at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Felipe.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 95
- 37
- 17
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Isaac Aguiar 85'
- 22
-
98
Paulinho Boia ↓ Chiheb Labidi 85'
- 38
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↓ Ruben Macedo 75'
- 27
- 4
-
5
Jose Gomes ↓ Arvin Appiah 74'
Bench
- 34
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 74'
- 2
- 18
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 75'
- 1
- 88
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 85'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 85'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Gil Vicente FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 42
- 39
- 26
-
10
Kanya Fujimoto ↓ Marvin Elimbi 67'
-
71
Felix Correia ↓ Jordi Mboula 85'
- 2
-
5
Facundo Caseres ↓ Santi Garcia 67'
-
7
Tidjany Toure ↓ Joao Marques 46'
- 45
-
9
Jorge Aguirre ↓ Pablo Felipe 56'
- 8
Bench
-
77
Jordi Mboula ↑ 85'
- 18
- 88
- 99
-
4
Marvin Elimbi ↑ 67'
-
90
Pablo Felipe ↑ 56'
-
33
Joao Marques ↑ 46'
-
19
Santi Garcia ↑ 67'
- 16
Coach
César Peixoto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felix Correia | 2 |
| Bryan Rochez | 1 |
| Rodrigao | 1 |
| Pedro Marques | 1 |
| Samuel | 1 |
| Ulisses | 1 |
| Ruben Fernandes | 1 |
| Santi Garcia | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Gil Vicente FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gil Vicente FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
48%
Draw or Gil Vicente FC
78%
CD Nacional or Gil Vicente FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gil Vicente FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.8%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
11.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Gil Vicente FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 24% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Gil Vicente FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

