Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,998 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Felix Correia
0–2 62+3' Pablo Felipe
0–3 82+3' Felix Correia pen

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Gil Vicente FCPrimeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Gil Vicente FC H 0–3 L
12 Apr Boavista FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–1 L
30 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr CD Nacional A 3–0 W
11 Apr Vitória SC H 0–1 L
06 Apr Moreirense FC H 0–1 L
01 Apr Boavista FC A 3–1 W
28 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–3 L
15 Mar CD Santa Clara H 0–1 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional Gil Vicente FC
#14 Position #6
34 Points 50
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 13 / 11 / 10
37 Scored 47
45 Conceded 38
-8 GD +9
1.00 PPG 1.47
26% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
35% Clean Sheets
Gil Vicente FC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Gil Vicente FC are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gil Vicente FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CD Nacional and Gil Vicente FC get this one started.
  • 5' CD Nacional are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Fuki Yamada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' Felix Correia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
  • 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' The referee calls foul for Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi. He receives a card.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tidjany Toure, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gil Vicente FC that had 238 games and scored 266 goals.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Gil Vicente FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' A moment of madness from Rui Encarnacao on 46 minutes earns him a card. CD Nacional will be frustrated.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tidjany Toure as he departs to be replaced by Joao Marques.
  • 51' Gil Vicente FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Gil Vicente FC team. Jorge Aguirre is replaced by Pablo Felipe on 56 minute.
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and Gil Vicente FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 65' What composure from Pablo Felipe! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 67' A change in the Gil Vicente FC ranks — Facundo Caseres exits the field as Santi Garcia enters on 67.
  • 72' The 24-year-old Santi Garcia has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Another change for CD Nacional made on 74 minute. Jose Gomes leaves to be changed by Arvin Appiah.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mohamed Bamba on 75 minutes.
  • 75' A tactical swap from CD NacionalRuben Macedo on, Fuki Yamada off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Gil Vicente FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 85' Felix Correia does the damage! The net is bulging and Gil Vicente FC surge ahead!
  • 85' Jordi Mboula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felix Correia at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Felipe.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Gil Vicente FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional22% Draw26% Gil Vicente FC52%
Actual: Gil Vicente FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
48%
Draw or Gil Vicente FC
78%
CD Nacional or Gil Vicente FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional14% Draw45% Gil Vicente FC41%
Actual: Gil Vicente FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.8%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
11.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Gil Vicente FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 24% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
17%
Gil Vicente FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.