Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 17:00 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,872 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 81' Jovane Cabral

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
CD Nacional 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals CF Estrela da Amadora

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 0–1 L
30 Mar CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr CD Nacional A 1–0 W
29 Mar Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–3 L
16 Mar Vitória SC A 0–2 L
07 Mar Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
23 Feb CD Santa Clara H 0–0 D

Season Stats

CD Nacional CF Estrela da Amadora
#15 Position #8
4 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 1
7 Scored 14
15 Conceded 14
-8 GD +0
0.57 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
CF Estrela da Amadora
Ianis Stoica 4 G 2 A
Abraham Marcus 4 G 1 A
Leandro Antonetti 4 G 1 A
Beni Souza 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CD Nacional launch into their encounter with CF Estrela da Amadora.
  • 5' CF Estrela da Amadora are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' CF Estrela da Amadora is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chico Banza.
  • 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 36' Leonardo Silva, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' Matheus Dias was booked on 37.
  • 42' CD Nacional currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 52' Gustavo Garcia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
  • 57' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' Another change for CF Estrela da Amadora made on 58 minute. Rodrigo Pinho leaves to be changed by Leonel Bucca.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Arvin Appiah as he leaves the pitch. Jose Gomes steps in for CD Nacional.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' Isaac Aguiar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joel Tagueu at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' Ulisses has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 270 appearances.
  • 72' Leonardo Silva is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 73' CF Estrela da Amadora make a change. Keliano trudges off to be replaced by Amine Oudrhiri on 73 minutes.
  • 74' A change in the CF Estrela da Amadora ranks — Chico Banza exits the field as Jovane Cabral enters on 74.
  • 79' CF Estrela da Amadora is showing some good football. However, CF Estrela da Amadora are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 81' Jovane Cabral puts CF Estrela da Amadora on the lead.
  • 83' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Matheus Dias by Fuki Yamada on 83 minute.
  • 88' Arvin Appiah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 89' Paulo Moreira gets the nod from CF Estrela da Amadora. He replaces Leonardo Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional25% Draw25% CF Estrela da Amadora50%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
50%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
75%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional18% Draw41% CF Estrela da Amadora41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.