CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | FC Famalicão | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Vitória SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | CD Santa Clara | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | CF Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #15 |
| 34 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 37 | Scored | 38 |
| 45 | Conceded | 56 |
| -8 | GD | -18 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 26% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Estadio da Madeira that hosts another battle between CD Nacional and CF Estrela da Amadora.
- 5' CF Estrela da Amadora seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paulo Moreira suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chico Banza.
- 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CF Estrela da Amadora backline.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Matheus Dias.
- 42' Ulisses has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
- 47' Dudu, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 52' Gustavo Garcia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 58' A tactical swap from CF Estrela da Amadora — Leonel Bucca on, Rodrigo Pinho off on 58 minutes.
- 59' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Arvin Appiah is replaced by Jose Gomes.
- 64' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and CF Estrela da Amadora are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 65' CD Nacional ring the changes. Joel Tagueu has done his job and it is now time for Isaac Aguiar to step up.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' The referee shows CF Estrela da Amadora player a card on 72.
- 73' The crowd applauds Keliano as he leaves the pitch. Amine Oudrhiri steps in for CF Estrela da Amadora.
- 74' The whistle greets Chico Banza as he departs to be replaced by Jovane Cabral.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 81' The deadlock is broken! Jovane Cabral gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
- 83' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Fuki Yamada comes on to replace Matheus Dias.
- 88' Lucas Franca needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 89' The whistle greets Leonardo Silva as he departs to be replaced by Paulo Moreira.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for CD Nacional and CF Estrela da Amadora (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
-
99
Dudu ↓ Ruben Macedo 58'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Jose Gomes 59'
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 65'
- 37
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Bruno Costa 65'
- 10
- 22
- 98
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Fuki Yamada 83'
- 4
Bench
- 2
- 18
-
8
Bruno Costa ↑ 65'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 58'
- 1
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 65'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 83'
- 33
-
5
Jose Gomes ↑ 59'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 24
-
9
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ Leonel Bucca 58'
- 98
-
17
Chico Banza ↓ Jovane Cabral 74'
-
25
Nilton Varela ↓ Semeu 58'
- 27
- 7
- 5
-
22
Leonardo Silva ↓ Paulo Moreira 89'
-
42
Keliano ↓ Amine Oudrhiri 73'
- 2
Bench
-
97
Jovane Cabral ↑ 74'
- 1
-
12
Amine Oudrhiri ↑ 73'
-
26
Leonel Bucca ↑ 58'
- 88
- 11
-
19
Paulo Moreira ↑ 89'
-
44
Semeu ↑ 58'
- 83
Coach
Ze Augusto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho Boia | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 1 |
| Kikas | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2025-04-06
CD Nacional
0–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
W
2025-03-29
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–3
Sporting Clube de Portugal
L
2025-03-16
Vitória SC
2–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2025-03-07
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–1
Gil Vicente FC
D
2025-03-02
Moreirense FC
1–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
D
2025-02-23
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–0
CD Santa Clara
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: CF Estrela da Amadora win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
66%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
65%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | CF Estrela da Amadora covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

