CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- CF Estrela da Amadora 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente FC | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Marítimo | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Alverca | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Famalicão | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia AC | 7 | 4 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | FC Famalicão | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Vitória SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | CD Santa Clara | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | CF Estrela da Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #8 |
| 4 | Points | 10 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 14 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +0 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 1.43 |
| 14% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
0%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 8th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 G | |
| Ze Vitor | 1 G |
CF Estrela da Amadora
| Ianis Stoica | 4 G | 2 A |
| Abraham Marcus | 4 G | 1 A |
| Leandro Antonetti | 4 G | 1 A |
| Beni Souza | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CD Nacional launch into their encounter with CF Estrela da Amadora.
- 5' CF Estrela da Amadora are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' CF Estrela da Amadora is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chico Banza.
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' Leonardo Silva, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' Matheus Dias was booked on 37.
- 42' CD Nacional currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 52' Gustavo Garcia is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CD Nacional tonight.
- 57' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' Another change for CF Estrela da Amadora made on 58 minute. Rodrigo Pinho leaves to be changed by Leonel Bucca.
- 59' The crowd applauds Arvin Appiah as he leaves the pitch. Jose Gomes steps in for CD Nacional.
- 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 65' Isaac Aguiar is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joel Tagueu at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' Ulisses has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 270 appearances.
- 72' Leonardo Silva is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
- 73' CF Estrela da Amadora make a change. Keliano trudges off to be replaced by Amine Oudrhiri on 73 minutes.
- 74' A change in the CF Estrela da Amadora ranks — Chico Banza exits the field as Jovane Cabral enters on 74.
- 79' CF Estrela da Amadora is showing some good football. However, CF Estrela da Amadora are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 81' Jovane Cabral puts CF Estrela da Amadora on the lead.
- 83' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Matheus Dias by Fuki Yamada on 83 minute.
- 88' Arvin Appiah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 89' Paulo Moreira gets the nod from CF Estrela da Amadora. He replaces Leonardo Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
-
99
Dudu ↓ Ruben Macedo 58'
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↓ Jose Gomes 59'
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 65'
- 37
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Bruno Costa 65'
- 10
- 22
- 98
-
88
Matheus Dias ↓ Fuki Yamada 83'
- 4
Bench
- 2
- 18
-
8
Bruno Costa ↑ 65'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 58'
- 1
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 65'
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↑ 83'
- 33
-
5
Jose Gomes ↑ 59'
Coach
Tiago Margarido
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 24
-
9
Rodrigo Pinho ↓ Leonel Bucca 58'
- 98
-
17
Chico Banza ↓ Jovane Cabral 74'
-
25
Nilton Varela ↓ Semeu 58'
- 27
- 7
- 5
-
22
Leonardo Silva ↓ Paulo Moreira 89'
-
42
Keliano ↓ Amine Oudrhiri 73'
- 2
Bench
-
97
Jovane Cabral ↑ 74'
- 1
-
12
Amine Oudrhiri ↑ 73'
-
26
Leonel Bucca ↑ 58'
- 88
- 11
-
19
Paulo Moreira ↑ 89'
-
44
Semeu ↑ 58'
- 83
Coach
Ze Augusto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kikas | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 1 |
| Paulinho Boia | 1 |
| Chuchu | 1 |
| Jovane Cabral | 1 |
| Wesley | 1 |
| Pablo Ruan | 1 |
| Ianis Stoica | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2025-04-06
CD Nacional
0–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
W
2025-03-29
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–3
Sporting Clube de Portugal
L
2025-03-16
Vitória SC
2–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2025-03-07
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–1
Gil Vicente FC
D
2025-03-02
Moreirense FC
1–1
CF Estrela da Amadora
D
2025-02-23
CF Estrela da Amadora
0–0
CD Santa Clara
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.21
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CF Estrela da Amadora win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
50%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
75%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | CF Estrela da Amadora covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

