Thursday , 17 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Burnley FC
4 – 0
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness og 30' 1–0
Lyle Foster 39' 2–0
Josh Brownhill 53' 3–0
Ashley Barnes 90+4' 4–0
Y 12' Kal Naismith
Josh Cullen 16' Y
YR 19' Kal Naismith
Lucas Pires 41' Y
Y 53' Jordan Clark
Y 80' Zack Nelson
Maxime Esteve 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 0.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 West Ham United FC 7 14
2 Swansea City AFC 7 14
3 West Bromwich Albion FC 7 14
4 Middlesbrough FC 6 13
5 Queens Park Rangers FC 7 12
6 Charlton Athletic FC 7 12
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 6 11
8 Southampton FC 7 10
9 Birmingham City FC 7 10
10 Stoke City FC 7 10
11 Bristol City FC 6 10
12 Norwich City FC 7 9
13 Millwall FC 6 9
14 Sheffield United FC 7 9
15 Blackburn Rovers FC 7 8
16 Lincoln City FC 6 8
17 Watford FC 7 8
18 Portsmouth FC 6 7
19 Wrexham AFC 7 7
20 Bolton Wanderers FC 7 7
21 Cardiff City FC 7 4
22 Derby County FC 7 4
23 Preston North End FC 7 3
24 Burnley FC 7 3

Head-to-Head

4
2
Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burnley FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark McGuinness made 359 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 12' Kal Naismith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
  • 16' That is a card for Burnley FC. Josh Cullen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 19' Kal Naismith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 19.
  • 24' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 25' Luton Town FC make a change. Liam Walsh trudges off to be replaced by Mark McGuinness on 25 minutes.
  • 30' GOAL! Mark McGuinness scores on 30.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' Goal! Lyle Foster scores his 19 goal in 423 matches.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Lucas Pires on 41 minutes earns him a card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Bowler suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' Luton Town FC come into this ranked 22 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' Josh Brownhill puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Jordan Clark is booked for Luton Town FC — card on 53.
  • 58' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Jacob Brown enters on 59.
  • 60' Lamine Dabo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jordan Clark at the 60 minute mark.
  • 62' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Josh Brownhill exits the field as Jeremy Sarmiento enters on 62.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Jaidon Anthony is replaced by Ashley Barnes on 74 minute.
  • 79' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 79 minute. Isaiah Jones leaves to be changed by Josh Bowler.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Zack Nelson.
  • 84' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Lyle Foster by Nathan Redmond on 84 minute.
  • 89' Maxime Esteve picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Luton Town FC will have plenty to reflect on. Burnley FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Scott Parker

Luton Town FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josh Brownhill 3
Ashley Barnes 2
Lyle Foster 2
Vitinho 1
Wilson Odobert 1
Tahith Chong 1
Daniel Potts 1
Jacob Bruun Larsen 1

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Burnley FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-04 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC L 2025-02-21 Burnley FC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-12 Burnley FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-02-23 Watford FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-02-19 Luton Town FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-02-15 Luton Town FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L 2025-02-12 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC70% Draw20% Luton Town FC10%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC50% Draw41% Luton Town FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 24% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.