Watford FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Rob Smith
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Luton Town FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Leeds United FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Coventry City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Watford FC welcome Luton Town FC for this crunch clash at Vicarage Road.
- 5' The referee has no hesitation. Jeremy Ngakia is booked for Watford FC — card on 5.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 11' Magnificent from Tom Dele-Bashiru! That is 12 goals in 370 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 16' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
- 21' Tom Ince has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' GOAL! Edo Kayembe scores on 23. Assisted by Giorgi Chakvetadze
- 28' The 26-year-old Jeremy Ngakia has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mamadou Doumbia suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' Poor challenge from Mads Juel Andersen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' The Watford FC bench stirs into life. Yasser Larouci is withdrawn and Ryan Andrews gets his opportunity.
- 51' Shandon Baptiste has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 53' Matthew Pollock is replacing Kevin Keben Biakolo for the Watford FC side.
- 58' It’s gonna be a card for Matthew Pollock.
- 63' It’s high time Tom Cleverley made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Shandon Baptiste by Josh Bowler on 70 minute.
- 73' Carlton Morris is having his name booked by the referee on 73.
- 78' Watford FC ring the changes. Mamadou Doumbia has done his job and it is now time for Vakoun Issouf Bayo to step up.
- 83' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 84' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Carlton Morris is withdrawn and Elijah Adebayo gets his opportunity.
- 89' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-5-2 shape.
- 90' It is a substitution in Watford FC team. Giorgi Chakvetadze is replaced by James Morris on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 39
- 8
- 10
- 24
-
37
Yasser Larouci ↓ Ryan Andrews 46'
- 2
- 33
- 4
- 25
- 20
Bench
- 23
-
3
Francisco Sierralta ↑ 78'
-
19
Vakoun Issouf Bayo ↑ 78'
-
6
Matthew Pollock ↑ 53'
-
22
James Morris ↑ 90'
- 11
-
45
Ryan Andrews ↑ 46'
- 53
- 52
Coach
Tom Cleverley
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 20
- 13
- 45
- 3
-
9
Carlton Morris ↓ Elijah Adebayo 84'
- 24
- 5
- 25
- 8
-
44
Lasse Nordas ↓ Jacob Brown 46'
- 2
Bench
-
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 46'
- 23
-
26
Shandon Baptiste ↑ 46'
- 18
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 84'
- 47
-
28
Christ Makosso ↑ 46'
- 38
- 21
Coach
Matt Bloomfield
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jordan Clark | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Tom Dele-Bashiru | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Keinan Davis | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Luton Town FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Luton Town FC
55%
Watford FC or Luton Town FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

