Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Burnley FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 19 May | Fulham FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 11 May | West Ham United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | Everton FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Brentford FC | H | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug | Luton Town FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 19 May | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Manchester United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 4–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luca Koleosho made 286 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 6' Against the run of play, Josh Brownhill has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 11' Wilson Odobert has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 21' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 26' France international Maxime Esteve has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' Luton Town FC have won 465 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 37' Wilson Odobert makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Burnley FC are in front.
- 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 43' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 43.
- 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dara O'Shea suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Zack Nelson gets a card.
- 55' A goal from the Curacao international Tahith Chong! He fires home on 55 to make it 1-2!
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Pires on 59 minutes.
- 60' Tahith Chong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 62.
- 66' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Koleosho departs to be replaced by Anass Zaroury.
- 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 72' Dara O'Shea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Burnley FC are in front.
- 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 80' Goal! Vitinho scores his 10 goal in 358 matches.
- 80' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Joseph Johnson by Andros Townsend on 80 minute.
- 83' The whistle greets Lyle Foster as he departs to be replaced by Wout Weghorst.
- 87' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shandon Baptiste on 87 minute.
- 90' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luke McNally is hanging Wilson Odobert on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 45
- 26
- 9
- 11
- 7
- 24
- 14
- 15
- 2
- 38
- 37
Bench
- 29
- 25
-
30
Andros Townsend ↑ 80'
- 10
- 3
- 1
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 87'
- 39
- 40
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 14
- 24
- 22
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Wout Weghorst 83'
- 1
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Han-Noah Massengo 83'
-
47
Wilson Odobert ↓ Luke McNally 90'
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Anass Zaroury 66'
Bench
- 9
- 11
-
29
Wout Weghorst ↑ 83'
- 10
-
42
Han-Noah Massengo ↑ 83'
- 32
- 37
-
34
Luke McNally ↑ 90'
-
19
Anass Zaroury ↑ 66'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Lyle Foster | 2 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 1 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Dara O'Shea | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

