Thursday , 1 October 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 12 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,777 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Josh Brownhill
0–2 37' Wilson Odobert
Tahith Chong 55' 1–2
1–3 72' Dara O'Shea
1–4 80' Vitinho

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L
11 May West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
03 May Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
20 Apr Brentford FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Josh Brownhill — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 389 games and scored 477 goals.
  • 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 26' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 36' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 37' Wilson Odobert has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 51' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Zack Nelson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 55' Goal! Tahith Chong scores his 14 goal in 415 matches.
  • 59' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Lucas Pires gets a card.
  • 60' Tahith Chong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 62' Josh Cullen was booked on 62.
  • 66' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Koleosho departs to be replaced by Anass Zaroury.
  • 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
  • 72' A stunning finish from Dara O'Shea — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 80' Vitinho doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 80' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andros Townsend is hanging Joseph Johnson on the field on 80 minute.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Wout Weghorst comes on to replace Lyle Foster.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Shandon Baptiste is replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on 87 minute.
  • 90' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Wilson Odobert departs to be replaced by Luke McNally.
  • It finishes all square. Luton Town FC and Burnley FC share the spoils 1-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw25% Burnley FC50%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC20% Draw43% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.