Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 12 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,777 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Josh Brownhill
0–2 37' Wilson Odobert
Tahith Chong 55' 1–2
1–3 72' Dara O'Shea
1–4 80' Vitinho

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L
11 May West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
03 May Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
20 Apr Brentford FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luca Koleosho made 286 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Josh Brownhill has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' Wilson Odobert has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 16' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' France international Maxime Esteve has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Luton Town FC have won 465 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 36' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Wilson Odobert makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 43.
  • 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dara O'Shea suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Zack Nelson gets a card.
  • 55' A goal from the Curacao international Tahith Chong! He fires home on 55 to make it 1-2!
  • 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Pires on 59 minutes.
  • 60' Tahith Chong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Josh Cullen on 62.
  • 66' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Luca Koleosho departs to be replaced by Anass Zaroury.
  • 71' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' Dara O'Shea makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 80' Goal! Vitinho scores his 10 goal in 358 matches.
  • 80' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Joseph Johnson by Andros Townsend on 80 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Lyle Foster as he departs to be replaced by Wout Weghorst.
  • 87' Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shandon Baptiste on 87 minute.
  • 90' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luke McNally is hanging Wilson Odobert on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw25% Burnley FC50%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC20% Draw43% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.