Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 12 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,777 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Josh Brownhill
0–2 37' Wilson Odobert
Tahith Chong 55' 1–2
1–3 72' Dara O'Shea
1–4 80' Vitinho

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L
11 May West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
03 May Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
20 Apr Brentford FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' Goal! Josh Brownhill scores his 45 goal in 387 matches.
  • 11' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' Luke McNally needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' What a strike from Wilson Odobert! The score is 0-2.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' James Trafford was booked on 43.
  • 48' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Maxime Esteve made 417 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' Zack Nelson was booked on 51.
  • 55' GOAL! Tahith Chong scores on 55. Assisted by Alfie Doughty
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Pires.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Tahith Chong. He receives a card.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Josh Cullen. He receives a card.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Luca Koleosho is replaced by Anass Zaroury.
  • 71' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 72' Goal! Dara O'Shea scores his 13 goal in 198 matches.
  • 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Anass Zaroury suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Goal! Vitinho scores his 10 goal in 358 matches.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Luton Town FC team. Joseph Johnson is replaced by Andros Townsend on 80 minute.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Lyle Foster is replaced by Wout Weghorst.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu. He replaces Shandon Baptiste on 87 minute.
  • 90' The whistle greets Wilson Odobert as he departs to be replaced by Luke McNally.
  • Another three points for Burnley FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw25% Burnley FC50%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC20% Draw43% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.