Sunday , 15 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 12 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,777 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Josh Brownhill
0–2 37' Wilson Odobert
Tahith Chong 55' 1–2
1–3 72' Dara O'Shea
1–4 80' Vitinho

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Mark Dwyer
7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Burnley FC H 1–4 L
19 May Fulham FC H 2–4 L
11 May West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
03 May Everton FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–2 L
20 Apr Brentford FC H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC A 4–1 W
19 May Nottingham Forest FC H 1–2 L
11 May Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–2 L
04 May Newcastle United FC H 1–4 L
27 Apr Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Luton Town FC and Burnley FC get this one started.
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 6' Josh Brownhill has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 21' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' What a strike from Wilson Odobert! The score is 0-2.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for James Trafford on 43.
  • 48' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Reuell Walters has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' It’s gonna be a card for Zack Nelson.
  • 55' Tahith Chong doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 59' Lucas Pires has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Tahith Chong. He receives a card.
  • 62' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Cullen gets a card.
  • 66' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Luca Koleosho by Anass Zaroury on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' The deadlock is broken! Dara O'Shea gets on the scoresheet on 72 minutes.
  • 77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Vitinho adds to his 1 season tally! Burnley FC lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Joseph Johnson exits the field as Andros Townsend enters on 80.
  • 83' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Lyle Foster exits the field as Wout Weghorst enters on 83.
  • 87' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on, Shandon Baptiste off on 87 minutes.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Luke McNally. He replaces Wilson Odobert on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw25% Burnley FC50%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC20% Draw43% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.