Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Deepdale.
- Preston North End FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Burnley FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Coventry City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Deepdale as Preston North End FC face off against Burnley FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stefan Teitur Thordarson on 28 minutes.
- 30' Lucas Pires is having his name booked by the referee on 30.
- 31' Robbie Brady makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Preston North End FC are in front.
- 35' Kaine Kesler is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 44' GOAL! Milutin Osmajic fires home to make it 2-0!
- 49' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' England international Freddie Woodman has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Benson Manuel departs to be replaced by Ashley Barnes.
- 63' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Ledson.
- 68' The crowd applauds Jeremy Sarmiento as he leaves the pitch. Jaydon Banel steps in for Burnley FC.
- 72' Fresh legs for Preston North End FC! Andrew Hughes comes on to replace Robbie Brady.
- 73' What a strike from Will Keane! The score is 3-0.
- 77' A tactical swap from Preston North End FC — Emil Riis Jakobsen on, Will Keane off on 77 minutes.
- 82' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Ched Evans. He replaces Milutin Osmajic on 84 minute.
- 89' Both keepers have barely been tested. Preston North End FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Preston North End FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
11
Robbie Brady ↓ Andrew Hughes 72'
- 6
- 44
-
18
Ryan Ledson ↓ Sam Greenwood 84'
-
7
Will Keane ↓ Emil Riis Jakobsen 77'
- 8
-
28
Milutin Osmajic ↓ Ched Evans 84'
- 1
- 19
- 29
- 22
Bench
-
16
Andrew Hughes ↑ 72'
- 26
-
12
Ched Evans ↑ 84'
- 13
-
9
Emil Riis Jakobsen ↑ 77'
-
20
Sam Greenwood ↑ 84'
- 3
- 38
- 39
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Jonjo Shelvey ↓ Josh Laurent 58'
-
10
Benson Manuel ↓ Ashley Barnes 58'
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Marcus Edwards 68'
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Jaydon Banel 68'
- 5
- 23
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Zian Flemming 58'
- 2
Bench
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↑ 68'
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 58'
- 15
- 14
-
19
Zian Flemming ↑ 58'
- 20
- 6
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↑ 68'
-
29
Josh Laurent ↑ 58'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nathan Tella | 3 |
| Jordan Storey | 1 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 1 |
| Robbie Brady | 1 |
| Will Keane | 1 |
| Milutin Osmajic | 1 |
Head to Head
Preston North End FC Form
2025-03-01
Preston North End FC
3–0
Burnley FC
W
2025-02-22
Coventry City FC
2–1
Preston North End FC
L
2025-02-18
Preston North End FC
1–1
Millwall FC
D
2025-02-15
Preston North End FC
0–0
Burnley FC
D
2025-02-11
Norwich City FC
0–1
Preston North End FC
W
2025-02-08
Preston North End FC
4–2
Wycombe Wanderers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33
Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Preston North End FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Preston North End FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Preston North End FC or Burnley FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Preston North End FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%
Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC
| Handicap | Preston North End FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

