Sunday , 16 August 2026

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2024-25
Preston North End FC
3 – 0
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 12:15 UTC Deepdale 17,761 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robbie Brady 31' 1–0
Milutin Osmajic 44' 2–0
Will Keane 73' 3–0
Stefan Teitur Thordarson 28' Y
Y 30' Lucas Pires
Kaine Kesler 35' Y
Ryan Ledson 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Deepdale.

Head-to-Head

1
3
1
Preston North End FC 5 games · Avg 1.6 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC 2024-10-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Preston North End FC 2023-02-11 Burnley FC 3–0 Preston North End FC 2022-09-13 Preston North End FC 1–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Preston North End FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Burnley FC H 3–0 W
22 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Millwall FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Burnley FC H 0–0 D
11 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–0 W
08 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 4–2 W
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Preston North End FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Preston North End FC vs Burnley FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Freddie Woodman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ashley Barnes made 342 appearances and scored 42 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Jaydon Banel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 28' That is a card for Preston North End FC. Stefan Teitur Thordarson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 30' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Pires is booked for Burnley FC — card on 30.
  • 31' Magnificent from Robbie Brady! That is 8 goals in 342 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Kaine Kesler. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' Marcus Edwards is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Milutin Osmajic makes it 2-0.
  • 49' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Josh Brownhill has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Burnley FC make a change. Benson Manuel trudges off to be replaced by Ashley Barnes on 58 minutes.
  • 63' A quiet spell here at Deepdale. Preston North End FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 67' Preston North End FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' The whistle greets Jeremy Sarmiento as he departs to be replaced by Jaydon Banel.
  • 72' Andrew Hughes gets the nod from Preston North End FC. He replaces Robbie Brady and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' A goal from the Ireland international Will Keane! He fires home on 73 to make it 3-0!
  • 77' The Preston North End FC bench stirs into life. Will Keane is withdrawn and Emil Riis Jakobsen gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Preston North End FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 84' Another substitution for Preston North End FC to replace Milutin Osmajic by Ched Evans on 84 minute.
  • 89' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 3-0 the final result. Burnley FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Preston North End FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nathan Tella 3
Robbie Brady 1
Will Keane 1
Milutin Osmajic 1
Jordan Storey 1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 1

Head to Head

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC 2024-10-05 Burnley FC 0–0 Preston North End FC 2023-02-11 Burnley FC 3–0 Preston North End FC 2022-09-13 Preston North End FC 1–1 Burnley FC

Preston North End FC Form

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC W 2025-02-22 Coventry City FC 2–1 Preston North End FC L 2025-02-18 Preston North End FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-11 Norwich City FC 0–1 Preston North End FC W 2025-02-08 Preston North End FC 4–2 Wycombe Wanderers FC W

Burnley FC Form

2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC L 2025-02-21 Burnley FC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-12 Burnley FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W 2025-02-08 Southampton FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2025-02-04 Burnley FC 1–0 Oxford United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Preston North End FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Preston North End FC48% Draw29% Burnley FC23%
Actual: Preston North End FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Preston North End FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Burnley FC
52%
Preston North End FC or Burnley FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Preston North End FC32% Draw52% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Preston North End FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.3%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Preston North End FC

Handicap Preston North End FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Preston North End FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.