Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 8 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
- Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Sheffield United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Millwall FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jan | Doncaster Rovers FC | H | 4–5 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 3' Bashir Humphreys makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Burnley FC are in front.
- 8' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 13' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Zian Flemming adds to his 3 season tally! Burnley FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 26' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 31' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
- 36' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 41' Alfie Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 46' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 51' CJ Egan-Riley, a England , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' Josh Laurent needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 58' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abu Kamara is replaced by Louie Barry.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 64' Joao Pedro Galvao gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Kyle Joseph and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 65 minute. Matt Crooks leaves to be changed by Mason Burstow.
- 70' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 74' Marcus Edwards is replacing Zian Flemming for the Burnley FC side.
- 79' The 23-year-old Louie Barry has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Jeremy Sarmiento. He replaces Hannibal Mejbri on 80 minute.
- 84' The Hull City AFC manager makes a substitution. Joe Gelhardt departs to be replaced by Nordin Amrabat.
- 85' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Eliot Matazo is replaced by Regan Slater on 85 minute.
- 90' Lyle Foster makes way for Ashley Barnes at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hull City AFC.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 24
-
19
Zian Flemming ↓ Marcus Edwards 74'
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Ashley Barnes 90'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Joe Worrall 90'
- 1
- 28
- 5
- 6
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↑ 74'
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 90'
- 26
- 10
-
4
Joe Worrall ↑ 90'
- 32
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 80'
- 23
- 34
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 2
-
30
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Nordin Amrabat 84'
- 19
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
36
Eliot Matazo ↓ Regan Slater 85'
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 64'
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ Louie Barry 58'
-
24
Matt Crooks ↓ Mason Burstow 65'
Bench
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 85'
-
12
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 64'
-
22
Louie Barry ↑ 58'
- 23
- 29
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 65'
- 32
- 20
-
37
Nordin Amrabat ↑ 84'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ozan Tufan | 3 |
| Nathan Tella | 3 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Bashir Humphreys | 1 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 1 |
| Xavier Simons | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Hull City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Hull City AFC
49%
Burnley FC or Hull City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Hull City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

