Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,987 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bashir Humphreys 3' 1–0
Zian Flemming 21' 2–0
Y 41' Alfie Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Burnley FC A 0–2 L
01 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
24 Jan Sheffield United FC A 3–0 W
21 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
12 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC H 4–5 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' Bashir Humphreys makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 8' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Hull City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 13' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' Zian Flemming adds to his 3 season tally! Burnley FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 26' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 41' Alfie Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 46' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 51' CJ Egan-Riley, a England , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 56' Josh Laurent needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abu Kamara is replaced by Louie Barry.
  • 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
  • 64' Joao Pedro Galvao gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Kyle Joseph and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 65 minute. Matt Crooks leaves to be changed by Mason Burstow.
  • 70' Hull City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' Marcus Edwards is replacing Zian Flemming for the Burnley FC side.
  • 79' The 23-year-old Louie Barry has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Jeremy Sarmiento. He replaces Hannibal Mejbri on 80 minute.
  • 84' The Hull City AFC manager makes a substitution. Joe Gelhardt departs to be replaced by Nordin Amrabat.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Eliot Matazo is replaced by Regan Slater on 85 minute.
  • 90' Lyle Foster makes way for Ashley Barnes at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hull City AFC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw28% Hull City AFC21%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Hull City AFC
49%
Burnley FC or Hull City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw52% Hull City AFC17%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.