Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Hull City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,987 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bashir Humphreys 3' 1–0
Zian Flemming 21' 2–0
Y 41' Alfie Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Hull City AFCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
08 Feb Southampton FC A 1–0 W
04 Feb Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Portsmouth FC A 0–0 D
27 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
22 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Burnley FC A 0–2 L
01 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
24 Jan Sheffield United FC A 3–0 W
21 Jan Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Millwall FC A 1–0 W
12 Jan Doncaster Rovers FC H 4–5 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Burnley FC is hosting Hull City AFC for another epic battle.
  • 3' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bashir Humphreys on 3.
  • 8' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean McLoughlin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 21' What a strike from Zian Flemming! The score is 2-0.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Alfie Jones.
  • 46' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 51' Hull City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Abu Kamara by Louie Barry on 58 minute.
  • 63' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' Another substitution for Hull City AFC to replace Kyle Joseph by Joao Pedro Galvao on 64 minute.
  • 65' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 65 minute. Matt Crooks leaves to be changed by Mason Burstow.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' Marcus Edwards is replacing Zian Flemming for the Burnley FC side.
  • 79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hull City AFC that had 380 games and scored 430 goals.
  • 80' Jeremy Sarmiento is replacing Hannibal Mejbri for the Burnley FC side.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Nordin Amrabat. He replaces Joe Gelhardt on 84 minute.
  • 85' Regan Slater is replacing Eliot Matazo for the Hull City AFC side.
  • 90' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Lyle Foster by Ashley Barnes on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Hull City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw28% Hull City AFC21%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Hull City AFC
49%
Burnley FC or Hull City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw52% Hull City AFC17%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Hull City AFC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.