Thursday , 1 October 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Burnley FC
4 – 0
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness og 30' 1–0
Lyle Foster 39' 2–0
Josh Brownhill 53' 3–0
Ashley Barnes 90+4' 4–0
Y 12' Kal Naismith
Josh Cullen 16' Y
YR 19' Kal Naismith
Lucas Pires 41' Y
Y 53' Jordan Clark
Y 80' Zack Nelson
Maxime Esteve 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

4
2
Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Burnley FC launch into their encounter with Luton Town FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Burnley FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' A moment of madness from Kal Naismith on 12 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
  • 16' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Cullen.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Kal Naismith.
  • 24' Jaidon Anthony needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Luton Town FC make a change. Liam Walsh trudges off to be replaced by Mark McGuinness on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Goal! Mark McGuinness scores his 12 goal in 363 matches.
  • 35' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lyle Foster makes it 1-1.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Pires is booked for Burnley FC — card on 41.
  • 46' Alfie Doughty has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' The England Josh Brownhill breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 2-1!
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Jordan Clark is booked for Luton Town FC — card on 53.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 389 games and scored 477 goals.
  • 59' Elijah Adebayo makes way for Jacob Brown at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Lamine Dabo on, Jordan Clark off on 60 minutes.
  • 62' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Sarmiento is hanging Josh Brownhill on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' Jordan Clark has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 72' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Jaidon Anthony exits the field as Ashley Barnes enters on 74.
  • 79' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Isaiah Jones is withdrawn and Josh Bowler gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Zack Nelson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Lyle Foster as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Redmond steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 89' Maxime Esteve catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Scott Parker

Luton Town FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josh Brownhill 3
Ashley Barnes 2
Lyle Foster 2
Daniel Potts 1
Jacob Bruun Larsen 1
Elijah Adebayo 1
Zeki Amdouni 1
Carlton Morris 1

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Burnley FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-04 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC L 2025-02-21 Burnley FC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-12 Burnley FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-02-23 Watford FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-02-19 Luton Town FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-02-15 Luton Town FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L 2025-02-12 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC70% Draw20% Luton Town FC10%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC50% Draw41% Luton Town FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 24% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.