Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Burnley FC
4 – 0
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness og 30' 1–0
Lyle Foster 39' 2–0
Josh Brownhill 53' 3–0
Ashley Barnes 90+4' 4–0
Y 12' Kal Naismith
Josh Cullen 16' Y
YR 19' Kal Naismith
Lucas Pires 41' Y
Y 53' Jordan Clark
Y 80' Zack Nelson
Maxime Esteve 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

4
2
Burnley FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burnley FC to score. At the same time, Luton Town FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thomas Kaminski, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Josh Cullen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 12' Kal Naismith is having his name booked by the referee on 12.
  • 16' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 16.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Kal Naismith. He receives a card.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Mark McGuinness has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Walsh on 25 minute.
  • 30' What a strike from Mark McGuinness! The score is 0-1.
  • 35' Alfie Doughty needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 39' What an equalizer from Lyle Foster!
  • 41' Lucas Pires was booked on 41.
  • 46' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 53' Josh Brownhill puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 53' It’s gonna be a card for Jordan Clark.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Elijah Adebayo by Jacob Brown on 59 minute.
  • 60' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Jordan Clark departs to be replaced by Lamine Dabo.
  • 62' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Sarmiento is hanging Josh Brownhill on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Ashley Barnes. He replaces Jaidon Anthony on 74 minute.
  • 79' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Isaiah Jones departs to be replaced by Josh Bowler.
  • 80' The referee calls foul for Zack Nelson. He receives a card.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Lyle Foster is replaced by Nathan Redmond.
  • 89' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-0.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Scott Parker

Luton Town FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josh Brownhill 3
Ashley Barnes 2
Lyle Foster 2
Elijah Adebayo 1
Zeki Amdouni 1
Carlton Morris 1
Dara O'Shea 1
Vitinho 1

Head to Head

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC 2024-08-12 Luton Town FC 1–4 Burnley FC 2024-01-12 Burnley FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2023-10-03 Luton Town FC 1–2 Burnley FC 2023-02-18 Luton Town FC 0–1 Burnley FC

Burnley FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-04 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2025-03-01 Preston North End FC 3–0 Burnley FC L 2025-02-21 Burnley FC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-02-15 Preston North End FC 0–0 Burnley FC D 2025-02-12 Burnley FC 2–0 Hull City AFC W

Luton Town FC Form

2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-02-23 Watford FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-02-19 Luton Town FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-02-15 Luton Town FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L 2025-02-12 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC70% Draw20% Luton Town FC10%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC50% Draw41% Luton Town FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 24% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.