Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness og 30' 1–0
Lyle Foster 39' 2–0
Josh Brownhill 53' 3–0
Ashley Barnes 90+4' 4–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Luton Town FC has kicked off!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a card for Kal Naismith.
  • 16' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Cullen gets a card.
  • 19' Kal Naismith picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 24' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Walsh departs to be replaced by Mark McGuinness.
  • 30' What composure from Mark McGuinness! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 35' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 39' Lyle Foster has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 41' Lucas Pires picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Walsh made 387 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Isaiah Jones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Brownhill makes it 2-1.
  • 53' Jordan Clark is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Jacob Brown enters on 59.
  • 60' The whistle greets Jordan Clark as he departs to be replaced by Lamine Dabo.
  • 62' Josh Brownhill makes way for Jeremy Sarmiento at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 67' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' Ashley Barnes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jaidon Anthony on 74 minute.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Josh Bowler. He replaces Isaiah Jones on 79 minute.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Zack Nelson on 80 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
  • 84' Burnley FC make a change. Lyle Foster trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Redmond on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Maxime Esteve.
  • It finishes all square. Burnley FC and Luton Town FC share the spoils 4-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC70% Draw20% Luton Town FC10%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC50% Draw41% Luton Town FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 24% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.