Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Turf Moor.
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Luton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Burnley FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Mar | Portsmouth FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burnley FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Luton Town FC has kicked off!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 12' It’s gonna be a card for Kal Naismith.
- 16' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Cullen gets a card.
- 19' Kal Naismith picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 24' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Liam Walsh departs to be replaced by Mark McGuinness.
- 30' What composure from Mark McGuinness! The Ireland international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 35' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 39' Lyle Foster has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
- 41' Lucas Pires picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Walsh made 387 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Isaiah Jones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
- 53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Josh Brownhill makes it 2-1.
- 53' Jordan Clark is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 59' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Jacob Brown enters on 59.
- 60' The whistle greets Jordan Clark as he departs to be replaced by Lamine Dabo.
- 62' Josh Brownhill makes way for Jeremy Sarmiento at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
- 67' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 5-4-1.
- 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' Ashley Barnes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jaidon Anthony on 74 minute.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Josh Bowler. He replaces Isaiah Jones on 79 minute.
- 80' A moment of madness from Zack Nelson on 80 minutes earns him a card. Luton Town FC will be frustrated.
- 84' Burnley FC make a change. Lyle Foster trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Redmond on 84 minutes.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Maxime Esteve.
- It finishes all square. Burnley FC and Luton Town FC share the spoils 4-0.
Lineups
Burnley FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Benson Manuel 62'
- 14
- 24
-
17
Lyle Foster ↓ Nathan Redmond 84'
-
11
Jaidon Anthony ↓ Ashley Barnes 74'
- 1
- 5
-
23
Lucas Pires ↓ Oliver Sonne 74'
- 6
- 29
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 74'
-
15
Nathan Redmond ↑ 84'
- 19
-
10
Benson Manuel ↑ 62'
- 4
- 32
- 28
-
7
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 62'
-
2
Oliver Sonne ↑ 74'
Coach
Scott Parker
Luton Town FC Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
-
20
Liam Walsh ↓ Mark McGuinness 25'
-
45
Alfie Doughty ↓ Millenic Alli 60'
- 3
- 12
-
18
Jordan Clark ↓ Lamine Dabo 60'
-
11
Elijah Adebayo ↓ Jacob Brown 59'
- 24
-
25
Isaiah Jones ↓ Josh Bowler 79'
- 8
- 28
- 37
Bench
-
19
Jacob Brown ↑ 59'
- 23
- 9
- 5
-
47
Josh Bowler ↑ 79'
-
6
Mark McGuinness ↑ 25'
- 44
-
22
Lamine Dabo ↑ 60'
-
21
Millenic Alli ↑ 60'
Coach
Matt Bloomfield
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Brownhill | 3 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Lyle Foster | 2 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Dara O'Shea | 1 |
| Vitinho | 1 |
| Wilson Odobert | 1 |
| Tahith Chong | 1 |
Head to Head
Burnley FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16
Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65
Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Burnley FC
| Handicap | Burnley FC covers | Push | Luton Town FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +1 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

