Sunday , 15 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor 19,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark McGuinness og 30' 1–0
Lyle Foster 39' 2–0
Josh Brownhill 53' 3–0
Ashley Barnes 90+4' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Luton Town FC H 4–0 W
04 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
01 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
12 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 12.
  • 16' Josh Cullen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Kal Naismith is booked for Luton Town FC — card on 19.
  • 24' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Liam Walsh is withdrawn and Mark McGuinness gets his opportunity.
  • 30' Mark McGuinness makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 35' Luton Town FC come into this ranked 22 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' Magnificent from Lyle Foster! That is 20 goals in 430 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 41' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' What composure from Josh Brownhill! The England international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 53' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Jordan Clark will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Luton Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 59' Elijah Adebayo makes way for Jacob Brown at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 60' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lamine Dabo is hanging Jordan Clark on the field on 60 minute.
  • 62' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Sarmiento is hanging Josh Brownhill on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Burnley FC — Ashley Barnes on, Jaidon Anthony off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Josh Bowler on, Isaiah Jones off on 79 minutes.
  • 80' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Zack Nelson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 84' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Lyle Foster departs to be replaced by Nathan Redmond.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Maxime Esteve argues furiously but the card stands.
  • It finishes all square. Burnley FC and Luton Town FC share the spoils 4-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.16 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC to win 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC70% Draw20% Luton Town FC10%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Luton Town FC
30%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC50% Draw41% Luton Town FC9%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 24% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.