Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Lyle Foster
Elijah Adebayo 84' 1–1
1–2 85' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
01 Sep West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
25 Aug Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kenilworth Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Louis Beyer, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 387 games and scored 476 goals.
  • 21' Reece Burke gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Amari'i Bell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 26' Ameen Al Dakhil has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 31' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' Jacob Brown has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 36.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Connor Roberts has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 388 appearances.
  • 47' The South Africa Lyle Foster breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
  • 52' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 57' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Reece Burke is booked for Luton Town FC — Yellow card on 59.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Issa Kabore is replaced by Elijah Adebayo.
  • 66' Connor Roberts was booked on 66.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Jacob Brown is replaced by Tahith Chong.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Aaron Ramsey on 74 minute.
  • 75' Jacob Bruun Larsen gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Luca Koleosho and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Lyle Foster as he leaves the pitch. Jay Rodriguez steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Elijah Adebayo makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 85' Against the run of play, Jacob Bruun Larsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Tahith Chong picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Aaron Ramsey is withdrawn and Hannes Delcroix gets his opportunity.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Burnley FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw31% Burnley FC36%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC24% Draw50% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.