Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Lyle Foster
Elijah Adebayo 84' 1–1
1–2 85' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
01 Sep West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
25 Aug Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Burnley FC.
  • 5' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alfie Doughty made 393 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' DR Congo international Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Amari'i Bell is withdrawn and Reece Burke gets his opportunity.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 397 games and scored 493 goals.
  • 31' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' Jacob Brown is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
  • 41' Luton Town FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 46' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Lyle Foster — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' Josh Cullen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 59' Controversy at the stadium! Reece Burke argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 62' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Issa Kabore departs to be replaced by Elijah Adebayo.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Connor Roberts on 66.
  • 69' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Jacob Brown by Tahith Chong on 69 minute.
  • 74' Aaron Ramsey is replacing Zeki Amdouni for the Burnley FC side.
  • 75' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Luca Koleosho by Jacob Bruun Larsen on 75 minute.
  • 80' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Lyle Foster is withdrawn and Jay Rodriguez gets his opportunity.
  • 84' The England forward Elijah Adebayo breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-1!
  • 85' GOAL! Jacob Bruun Larsen fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tahith Chong on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Hannes Delcroix comes on to replace Aaron Ramsey.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Burnley FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Burnley FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw31% Burnley FC36%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC24% Draw50% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.