Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Lyle Foster
Elijah Adebayo 84' 1–1
1–2 85' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
01 Sep West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
25 Aug Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Burnley FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' Josh Cullen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 21' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Amari'i Bell is replaced by Reece Burke.
  • 26' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 36' Jacob Brown picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' Luton Town FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 47' GOAL! Lyle Foster scores on 45. Assisted by Sander Berge
  • 52' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Lockyer made 291 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Reece Burke.
  • 62' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elijah Adebayo is hanging Issa Kabore on the field on 62 minute.
  • 66' Connor Roberts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 66.
  • 69' Tahith Chong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Brown on 69 minute.
  • 74' Aaron Ramsey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Zeki Amdouni at the 74 minute mark.
  • 75' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Luca Koleosho exits the field as Jacob Bruun Larsen enters on 75.
  • 80' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Lyle Foster departs to be replaced by Jay Rodriguez.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Elijah Adebayo gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 85' GOAL! Jacob Bruun Larsen fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Tahith Chong. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Burnley FC make a change. Aaron Ramsey trudges off to be replaced by Hannes Delcroix on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Burnley FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw31% Burnley FC36%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC24% Draw50% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.