Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 3 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Lyle Foster
Elijah Adebayo 84' 1–1
1–2 85' Jacob Bruun Larsen

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep Fulham FC A 0–1 L
01 Sep West Ham United FC H 1–2 L
25 Aug Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
27 Aug Aston Villa FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Burnley FC has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Carlton Morris has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Teden Mengi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • 21' The supporters are chanting for Reece Burke. He replaces Amari'i Bell on 21 minute.
  • 26' England international Jay Rodriguez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 36.
  • 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' GOAL! Lyle Foster fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 59' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Reece Burke.
  • 62' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Issa Kabore departs to be replaced by Elijah Adebayo.
  • 66' The referee has no hesitation. Connor Roberts is booked for Burnley FC — Yellow card on 66.
  • 69' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Brown departs to be replaced by Tahith Chong.
  • 74' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Zeki Amdouni is withdrawn and Aaron Ramsey gets his opportunity.
  • 75' The Burnley FC bench stirs into life. Luca Koleosho is withdrawn and Jacob Bruun Larsen gets his opportunity.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Burnley FCJay Rodriguez on, Lyle Foster off on 80 minutes.
  • 84' The England Elijah Adebayo breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-1!
  • 85' Jacob Bruun Larsen does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
  • 90' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' Hannes Delcroix gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Aaron Ramsey and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.16 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Burnley FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw31% Burnley FC36%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Burnley FC
67%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC24% Draw50% Burnley FC26%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.