Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 19 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,752 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Brown 55' 1–0
1–1 70' Maksym Taloverov

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
01 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
25 Jan Millwall FC H 0–1 L
21 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
12 Feb Millwall FC H 5–1 W
09 Feb Liverpool FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
25 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Luton Town FC and Plymouth Argyle FC get this one started.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Plymouth Argyle FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 10' Nikola Katic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 414 appearances.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mark McGuinness is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Luton Town FC.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Plymouth Argyle FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Plymouth Argyle FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Walsh made 402 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Jacob Brown on, Elijah Adebayo off on 54 minutes.
  • 55' GOAL! Jacob Brown scores on 55. Assisted by Lasse Nordas
  • 60' Plymouth Argyle FC have won 426 goals from 346 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' Another substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC to replace Rami Hajal by Muhamed Tijani on 62 minute.
  • 67' Liam Walsh makes way for Shandon Baptiste at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 70' What composure from Maksym Taloverov! The Ukraine international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 75' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Kornel Szucs.
  • 82' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 83 minute. Lasse Nordas leaves to be changed by Millenic Alli.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Plymouth Argyle FC! Darko Gyabi comes on to replace Callum Wright.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mustapha Bundu argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The points are shared — Luton Town FC 1-1 Plymouth Argyle FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Plymouth Argyle FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC40% Draw30% Plymouth Argyle FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
60%
Luton Town FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC29% Draw50% Plymouth Argyle FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.