Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.
- Botafogo FR 33 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 33 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 33 | 73 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 33 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 33 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 33 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 33 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 33 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 33 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 33 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 33 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 32 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 32 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 33 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 33 | 37 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 33 | 36 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 33 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 32 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Paranaense | H | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Chapecoense AF | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | RB Bragantino | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Botafogo FR | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #15 |
| 39 | Points | 37 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 10 / 9 / 14 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 14 |
| 45 | Scored | 37 |
| 53 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | -7 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.12 |
| 30% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
Botafogo FR this season
30%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Botafogo FR are 11th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Botafogo FR
0-15
6/6
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/4
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/5
46-60
5/4
61-75
3/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Botafogo FR
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 10 G | 2 A |
| Arthur Cabral | 7 G | 1 A |
| Edenilson | 5 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Martins | 4 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 11 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Municipal Nilton Santos that hosts another battle between Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact 4-3-3.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Castro will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Arthur Chaves is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
- 20' The 38-year-old Weverton has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Goal! Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira scores his 17 goal in 399 matches.
- 35' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 36' Goal! Jovane Cabral scores his 26 goal in 515 matches.
- 41' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Edenilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' A tactical swap from Botafogo FR — Danilo on, Edenilson off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Botafogo FR must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 52' Against the run of play, Alvaro Montoro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Botafogo FR that had 355 games and scored 365 goals.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Jose Enamorado. He replaces Jovane Cabral on 59 minute.
- 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Martin Braithwaite. He replaces Filip Krovinovic on 66 minute.
- 71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 73' Marcal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Junior Santos at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Erick Noriega.
- 78' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Tete comes on to replace Cristian Pavon.
- 79' Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira with the second goal in the match!
- 81' Botafogo FR ring the changes. Alvaro Montoro has done his job and it is now time for Allan to step up.
- 86' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Arthur Cabral departs to be replaced by Tiquinho Soares.
- 88' A stunning finish from Gustavo Martins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' Danilo is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Botafogo FR take all three points.
Lineups
Botafogo FR Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
-
19
Arthur Cabral ↓ Tiquinho Soares 86'
-
7
Junior Santos ↓ Marcal 73'
- 13
- 88
- 2
- 8
- 3
-
33
Lucas Monzon ↓ Gabriel Pereira 46'
-
10
Alvaro Montoro ↓ Allan 81'
- 75
Bench
- 29
-
21
Marcal ↑ 73'
-
25
Allan ↑ 81'
-
9
Tiquinho Soares ↑ 86'
-
90
Danilo ↑ 46'
- 17
- 77
- 91
- 59
- 42
-
34
Gabriel Pereira ↑ 46'
- 79
Coach
Franclim Carvalho
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 38
-
77
Jovane Cabral ↓ Jose Enamorado 59'
- 95
-
7
Cristian Pavon ↓ Tete 78'
- 10
- 20
- 8
- 6
- 27
- 82
Bench
- 4
- 14
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 66'
- 18
-
11
Tete ↑ 78'
-
30
Matheus Nascimento ↑ 78'
- 15
- 12
- 3
- 5
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↑ 59'
- 31
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luis Suarez | 3 |
| Cuiabano | 3 |
| Jael | 2 |
| Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira | 2 |
| Jean Pyerre | 2 |
| Junior Santos | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Alisson | 2 |
Head to Head
Botafogo FR Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77
Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Botafogo FR win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Botafogo FR or Draw
73%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
52%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR
| Handicap | Botafogo FR covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

