Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
4
Luton Town FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Burnley FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Grimsby Town FC A 0–3 L
04 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Feb Watford FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Preston North End FC H 3–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Feb Norwich City FC A 3–0 W
28 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kenilworth Road!
  • 5' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Connor Roberts is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rob Edwards might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' Luton Town FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's shape.
  • 25' England international Charlie Taylor has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 32' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Cody Drameh is withdrawn and Alfie Doughty gets his opportunity.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Josh Brownhill.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' Johann Berg Gudmundsson makes way for Anass Zaroury at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 57' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Carlton Morris is withdrawn and Cauley Woodrow gets his opportunity.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Burnley FCVitinho on, Nathan Tella off on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hjalmar Ekdal, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCAllan Campbell on, Marvelous Nakamba off on 68 minutes.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Carlton Morris suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Tom Lockyer.
  • 78' GOAL! Ashley Barnes scores on 78.
  • 78' Tom Lockyer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 78.
  • 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 90' Lyle Foster is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anass Zaroury at the 90 minute mark.
  • The points are shared — Luton Town FC 0-1 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Burnley FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC29% Draw34% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
71%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC19% Draw57% Burnley FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.