Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 18 Feb 2023 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
4
Luton Town FC 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Burnley FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Burnley FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
07 Feb Grimsby Town FC A 0–3 L
04 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Feb Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
14 Feb Watford FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Preston North End FC H 3–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
04 Feb Norwich City FC A 3–0 W
28 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Luton Town FC welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Kenilworth Road.
  • 5' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Luton Town FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 32' The supporters are chanting for Alfie Doughty. He replaces Cody Drameh on 32 minute.
  • 35' Josh Brownhill catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 35.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' The whistle greets Johann Berg Gudmundsson as he departs to be replaced by Anass Zaroury.
  • 57' Cauley Woodrow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Carlton Morris on 57 minute.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Nathan Tella as he leaves the pitch. Vitinho steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 66' Burnley FC have won 404 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Marvelous Nakamba is replaced by Allan Campbell.
  • 73' Luton Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 77.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Ashley Barnes — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Tom Lockyer on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Over 83 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' Burnley FC make a change. Anass Zaroury trudges off to be replaced by Lyle Foster on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Burnley FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC29% Draw34% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Burnley FC
71%
Luton Town FC or Burnley FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC19% Draw57% Burnley FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.3%
3 – 1
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 22% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.