Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Portsmouth FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,662 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jordan Clark 25' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Portsmouth FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
12 Feb Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
01 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
15 Feb Oxford United FC A 2–0 W
11 Feb Cardiff City FC H 2–1 W
08 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
01 Feb Burnley FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Portsmouth FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portsmouth FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portsmouth FC
Terry Devlin 4 G
Marko Milovanovic 3 G
Adrian Segecic 2 G 2 A
Ebou Adams 2 G 1 A
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Luton Town FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee shows Portsmouth FC player a card on 5.
  • 10' Christian Saydee needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Liam Walsh is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Luton Town FC tonight.
  • 16' Matt Ritchie is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
  • 21' Portsmouth FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' GOAL! Jordan Clark scores on 25.
  • 30' It looks surprising Portsmouth FC does not make any changes. Isaac Hayden has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 39' Josh Murphy has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Portsmouth FC make a change. Matt Ritchie trudges off to be replaced by Kaide Gordon on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The 26-year-old Zak Swanson has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Jacob Brown will be fuming at that decision.
  • 57' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Jacob Brown has done his job and it is now time for Millenic Alli to step up.
  • 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kal Naismith, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 4 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 63' Another substitution for Portsmouth FC to replace Josh Murphy by Kusini Yengi on 63 minute.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Kaminski made 239 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Mark McGuinness gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Liam Walsh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Portsmouth FC make a change. Zak Swanson trudges off to be replaced by Cohen Bramall on 73 minutes.
  • 78' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' Portsmouth FC ring the changes. Isaac Hayden has done his job and it is now time for Terry Devlin to step up.
  • 86' Portsmouth FC come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' Thomas Kaminski was booked on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 90 minute. Carlton Morris leaves to be changed by Elijah Adebayo.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Luton Town FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Portsmouth FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC42% Draw31% Portsmouth FC27%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Portsmouth FC
58%
Luton Town FC or Portsmouth FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC26% Draw54% Portsmouth FC20%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Portsmouth FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Portsmouth FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.