Sunday , 15 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Fri 12 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Zeki Amdouni 36' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Carlton Morris

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 12.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Burnley FC and Luton Town FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 20' The 26-year-old Alfie Doughty has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Turf Moor. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 36' GOAL! Zeki Amdouni fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Luton Town FC have won 493 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burnley FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 64' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Andros Townsend has done his job and it is now time for Tahith Chong to step up.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Albert Sambi Lokonga made 405 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' Another change for Burnley FC made on 74 minute. Johann Berg Gudmundsson leaves to be changed by Connor Roberts.
  • 79' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 84' Another change for Burnley FC made on 84 minute. Zeki Amdouni leaves to be changed by Mike Tresor.
  • 87' Luton Town FC make a change. Albert Sambi Lokonga trudges off to be replaced by Luke Berry on 87 minutes.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. James Trafford gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Hjalmar Ekdal as he departs to be replaced by Jack Cork.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC38% Draw29% Luton Town FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
62%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC25% Draw50% Luton Town FC25%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.