Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Fri 12 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Zeki Amdouni 36' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Carlton Morris

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Luton Town FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burnley FC vs Luton Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, James Trafford is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Vitinho made 358 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
  • 36' A goal from the Switzerland international Zeki Amdouni! He fires home on 36 to make it 1-0!
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Alfie Doughty has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Johann Berg Gudmundsson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Andros Townsend by Tahith Chong on 64 minute.
  • 69' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 74' Johann Berg Gudmundsson makes way for Connor Roberts at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 79' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' Another change for Burnley FC made on 84 minute. Zeki Amdouni leaves to be changed by Mike Tresor.
  • 87' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Albert Sambi Lokonga exits the field as Luke Berry enters on 87.
  • 90' A moment of madness from James Trafford on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Hjalmar Ekdal as he leaves the pitch. Jack Cork steps in for Burnley FC.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.2 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC38% Draw29% Luton Town FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Luton Town FC
62%
Burnley FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC25% Draw50% Luton Town FC25%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.