Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Gremio FBPA

5 – 3

Full Time

Botafogo FR

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR — Serie A .

Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Botafogo FR 24 games · 30 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	25	52
2	CR Flamengo	24	48
3	CA Paranaense	25	45
4	Fluminense FC	25	42
5	EC Bahia	25	40
6	Cruzeiro EC	25	39
7	Coritiba FBC	25	37
8	CA Mineiro	24	36
9	RB Bragantino	24	35
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	25	32
11	Sao Paulo FC	24	30
12	Botafogo FR	24	30
13	Santos FC	24	29
14	EC Vitoria	25	29
15	Gremio FBPA	24	28
16	SC Internacional	25	25
17	Mirassol FC	24	25
18	CR Vasco da Gama	24	25
19	Clube do Remo	25	23
20	Chapecoense AF	24	14

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 13 games · Avg 3.8 goals Botafogo FR

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W
22 Nov	Botafogo FR	A	2–3	L

Botafogo FR

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Gremio FBPA	A	3–5	L
30 Jan	Cruzeiro EC	H	4–0	W
07 Dec	Fortaleza EC	H	4–2	W
04 Dec	Cruzeiro EC	A	2–2	D
30 Nov	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	2–2	D
22 Nov	Gremio FBPA	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA		Botafogo FR
#15	Position	#12
28	Points	30
24	Played	24
7 / 7 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 6 / 10
27	Scored	37
32	Conceded	40
-5	GD	-3
1.17	PPG	1.25
29%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/4

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/6

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Botafogo FR

0-15

5/5

16-30

1/3

31-45

4/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

4/3

76+

7/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Botafogo FR

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira	7 G	2 A
Arthur Cabral	7 G	1 A
Edenilson	4 G	2 A
Matheus Martins	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Grêmio FBPA and Botafogo FR is underway.
The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 5-3 Botafogo FR. Honours even.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cuiabano	3
Luis Suarez	3
Junior Santos	2
Pepe	2
Alisson	2
Jael	2
Matheus Babi	2
Matheus Henrique	2

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L

Botafogo FR Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR L 2026-01-30 Botafogo FR 4–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-12-07 Botafogo FR 4–2 Fortaleza EC W 2025-12-04 Cruzeiro EC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-30 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.25 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Botafogo FR xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA46% Draw23% Botafogo FR31%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

69%

Draw or Botafogo FR

54%

Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA36% Draw37% Botafogo FR27%

Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.3%

3 – 1

5.5%

3 – 2

5.1%

2 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

4.1%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 3

3.3%

1 – 0

3.2%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	Botafogo FR covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	14%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	18%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.