Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Gremio FBPA

5 – 3

Full Time

Botafogo FR

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR — Serie A .

Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Botafogo FR 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	19	32
4	RB Bragantino	19	30
5	CA Paranaense	18	30
6	EC Bahia	18	29
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	Botafogo FR	18	25
10	EC Vitoria	18	25
11	CA Mineiro	18	24
12	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
13	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	19	21
16	Gremio FBPA	19	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	19	20
18	Mirassol FC	18	19
19	Clube do Remo	18	18
20	Chapecoense AF	18	9

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 13 games · Avg 3.8 goals Botafogo FR

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W
22 Nov	Botafogo FR	A	2–3	L

Botafogo FR

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Gremio FBPA	A	3–5	L
30 Jan	Cruzeiro EC	H	4–0	W
07 Dec	Fortaleza EC	H	4–2	W
04 Dec	Cruzeiro EC	A	2–2	D
30 Nov	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	2–2	D
22 Nov	Gremio FBPA	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA		Botafogo FR
#16	Position	#9
21	Points	25
19	Played	18
5 / 6 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
21	Scored	33
25	Conceded	32
-4	GD	+1
1.11	PPG	1.39
26%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

37% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

11% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Botafogo FR are 9th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

2/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Botafogo FR

0-15

5/2

16-30

1/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

4/3

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Botafogo FR

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira	7 G	2 A
Arthur Cabral	7 G	1 A
Edenilson	4 G	2 A
Matheus Martins	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Grêmio FBPA and Botafogo FR has kicked off!
With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Cuiabano	3
Luis Suarez	3
Alisson	2
Jael	2
Matheus Babi	2
Matheus Henrique	2
Jael	2
Jean Pyerre	2

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L

Botafogo FR Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR L 2026-01-30 Botafogo FR 4–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-12-07 Botafogo FR 4–2 Fortaleza EC W 2025-12-04 Cruzeiro EC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-30 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.29 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.02 Botafogo FR xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA45% Draw23% Botafogo FR32%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.31

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

67%

Draw or Botafogo FR

55%

Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA35% Draw36% Botafogo FR29%

Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 3

4.6%

1 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.7%

3 – 3

3.5%

4 – 2

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	Botafogo FR covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	18%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	10%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.