Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Gremio FBPA

5 – 3

Full Time

Botafogo FR

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Botafogo FR — Serie A .

Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Botafogo FR 30 games · 36 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	30	64
2	SE Palmeiras	30	63
3	CA Paranaense	30	53
4	Fluminense FC	30	51
5	EC Bahia	30	49
6	Cruzeiro EC	30	48
7	CA Mineiro	30	47
8	Santos FC	30	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	40
10	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
11	Coritiba FBC	30	39
12	Botafogo FR	30	36
13	Mirassol FC	31	36
14	EC Vitoria	30	36
15	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
16	SC Internacional	31	32
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	30	32
18	Gremio FBPA	30	31
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	29	18

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 14 games · Avg 3.9 goals Botafogo FR

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-06-16 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W
22 Nov	Botafogo FR	A	2–3	L

Botafogo FR

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	Gremio FBPA	A	3–5	L
30 Jan	Cruzeiro EC	H	4–0	W
07 Dec	Fortaleza EC	H	4–2	W
04 Dec	Cruzeiro EC	A	2–2	D
30 Nov	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	2–2	D
22 Nov	Gremio FBPA	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA		Botafogo FR
#18	Position	#12
31	Points	36
30	Played	30
7 / 10 / 13	W / D / L	9 / 9 / 12
32	Scored	43
40	Conceded	48
-8	GD	-5
1.03	PPG	1.20
23%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/7

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Botafogo FR

0-15

5/5

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/4

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/3

76+

8/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Botafogo FR

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira	10 G	2 A
Arthur Cabral	7 G	1 A
Edenilson	4 G	2 A
Matheus Martins	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Gremio FBPA and Botafogo FR.
Another three points for Gremio FBPA.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luis Suarez	3
Cuiabano	3
Junior Santos	2
Pepe	2
Alisson	2
Jael	2
Matheus Babi	2
Matheus Henrique	2

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L

Botafogo FR Form

2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR L 2026-01-30 Botafogo FR 4–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-12-07 Botafogo FR 4–2 Fortaleza EC W 2025-12-04 Cruzeiro EC 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-30 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–2 Botafogo FR D 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.83 Botafogo FR xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA45% Draw23% Botafogo FR32%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

69%

Draw or Botafogo FR

55%

Gremio FBPA or Botafogo FR

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA35% Draw38% Botafogo FR27%

Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted

5 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

5.5%

3 – 2

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 3

3.9%

1 – 0

3.6%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	Botafogo FR covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	18%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	15%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.