Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 14:30 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Maximilian Beier
Robert Andrich 88' 1–1
Patrik Schick 90+1' 2–1
Y 19' Tim Drexler

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
17 Mar SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
14 Mar Qarabag Agdam FK H 3–2 W
10 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar Qarabag Agdam FK A 2–2 D
03 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
16 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 0–3 L
10 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–3 L
03 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
17 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#6 Position #5
59 Points 61
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
68 Scored 65
47 Conceded 52
+21 GD +13
1.74 PPG 1.79
50% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen58% Draw21% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
78%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
42%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen41% Draw38% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 16% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 20% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 13% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
22%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.