Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Mar | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | VfL Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 59 | Points | 29 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 19 |
| 68 | Scored | 45 |
| 47 | Conceded | 69 |
| +21 | GD | -24 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 50% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
H2H (26 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Bayer 04 Leverkusen launch into their encounter with VfL Wolfsburg.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 7' It’s gonna be a card for Yannick Gerhardt.
- 12' Moritz Jenz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Moritz Jenz made 434 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 28' Moritz Jenz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 28.
- 32' Sebastiaan Bornauw is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonas Wind at the 32 minute mark.
- 37' A goal from the Nigeria international Nathan Tella! He fires home on 37 to make it 1-0!
- 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aster Vranckx, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 47' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 52' Jonathan Tah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 49 Yellow cards this season.
- 57' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amine Adli is hanging Piero Hincapie on the field on 59 minute.
- 63' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Amin Sarr comes on to replace Tiago Tomas.
- 68' Amin Sarr has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Xabi Alonso might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 76' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Jonas Hofmann comes on to replace Nathan Tella.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Amine Adli.
- 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
- 86' The Germany Florian Wirtz breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-0!
- 87' Cedric Zesiger makes way for Patrick Wimmer at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
- 90' The whistle greets Florian Wirtz as he departs to be replaced by Adam Hlozek.
- Full Time. Bayer 04 Leverkusen beats VfL Wolfsburg
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
-
14
Patrik Schick ↓ Borja Iglesias 76'
- 25
- 20
- 12
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Adam Hlozek 90'
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Jonas Hofmann 76'
-
3
Piero Hincapie ↓ Amine Adli 59'
- 2
Bench
-
7
Jonas Hofmann ↑ 76'
- 36
-
8
Robert Andrich ↑ 90'
-
9
Borja Iglesias ↑ 76'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 90'
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 59'
- 18
- 6
- 32
Coach
Xabi Alonso
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 27
- 31
- 20
-
19
Lovro Majer ↓ Aster Vranckx 63'
-
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Sebastiaan Bornauw 32'
-
5
Cedric Zesiger ↓ Patrick Wimmer 87'
- 40
-
11
Tiago Tomas ↓ Amin Sarr 63'
- 25
Bench
- 12
-
17
Kevin Behrens ↑ 87'
- 32
- 13
-
3
Sebastiaan Bornauw ↑ 32'
-
6
Aster Vranckx ↑ 63'
-
9
Amin Sarr ↑ 63'
-
39
Patrick Wimmer ↑ 87'
- 2
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 3 |
| Renato Steffen | 3 |
| Paulinho | 3 |
| Maximilian Arnold | 3 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 |
| Marin Pongracic | 2 |
| Kevin Volland | 1 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2024-03-10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2024-03-07
Qarabag Agdam FK
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2024-03-03
1. FC Koln
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-02-23
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-02-17
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2024-02-10
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–0
FC Bayern München
W
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
89%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
30%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or VfL Wolfsburg
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
9%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | VfL Wolfsburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

