Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Sat 11 Feb 2023 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Markus Hacker
  • Referee Christian Gittelmann
  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Referee Philipp Huwe
  • Referee Florian Exner

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
04 Feb VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–5 L
01 Feb RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
28 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–4 L
24 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
21 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
03 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
29 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
25 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
22 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–2 W
12 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#5 Position #6
61 Points 59
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
65 Scored 68
52 Conceded 47
+13 GD +21
1.79 PPG 1.74
53% Win % 50%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim31% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen45%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
69%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw39% Bayer 04 Leverkusen36%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 19% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.