TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs SV Werder Bremen — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- SV Werder Bremen 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Jonas Weickenmeier
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Feb | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Feb | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Koln | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | SC Freiburg | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | SV Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 61 | Points | 32 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 18 |
| 65 | Scored | 37 |
| 52 | Conceded | 60 |
| +13 | GD | -23 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season
SV Werder Bremen this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at PreZero Arena!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 407 games and scored 529 goals.
- 8' Brilliant from the ! Maximilian Beier makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 8.
- 13' Anthony Jung has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 18' Nick Woltemade is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SV Werder Bremen so far.
- 23' The 30-year-old Florian Grillitsch has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dawid Kownacki made 111 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jens Stage suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ole Werner will be considering his options from the bench.
- 44' Maximilian Beier makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
- 49' That looks like a foul for a card for Florian Grillitsch.
- 51' Umut Tohumcu picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Skelly Alvero is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SV Werder Bremen.
- 61' Controversy at the stadium! Marius Bulter argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' Another substitution for SV Werder Bremen to replace Marvin Ducksch by Justin Njinmah on 64 minute.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and SV Werder Bremen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marius Bulter on 73 minutes.
- 73' SV Werder Bremen ring the changes. Jens Stage has done his job and it is now time for Skelly Alvero to step up.
- 76' The crowd applauds Maximilian Beier as he leaves the pitch. Stanley N'Soki steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 78' Pavel Kaderabek catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Olivier Deman.
- 86' Another change for SV Werder Bremen made on 86 minute. Christian Gross leaves to be changed by Leonardo Bittencourt.
- 87' The crowd applauds Dennis Geiger as he leaves the pitch. Finn Ole Becker steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- The points are shared — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 SV Werder Bremen. Honours even.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 9
- 1
- 3
- 11
- 21
- 5
- 14
- 16
-
40
Umut Tohumcu ↓ Dennis Geiger 64'
Bench
- 27
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 64'
- 20
- 37
- 39
- 15
-
34
Stanley N'Soki ↑ 76'
- 19
- 33
Coach
Pellegrino Matarazzo
SV Werder Bremen Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 30
- 8
-
7
Marvin Ducksch ↓ Justin Njinmah 64'
- 20
- 3
-
27
Felix Agu ↓ Olivier Deman 64'
-
6
Jens Stage ↓ Skelly Alvero 73'
- 36
-
29
Nick Woltemade ↓ Dawid Kownacki 73'
- 14
- 22
Bench
- 1
- 18
-
10
Leonardo Bittencourt ↑ 86'
-
9
Dawid Kownacki ↑ 73'
-
2
Olivier Deman ↑ 64'
- 40
-
28
Skelly Alvero ↑ 73'
-
17
Justin Njinmah ↑ 64'
- 35
Coach
Ole Werner
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Christoph Baumgartner | 4 |
| Jens Stage | 4 |
| Marius Bulter | 3 |
| Maximilian Beier | 3 |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 2 |
| Anton Stach | 1 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 1 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-03-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
SV Werder Bremen
W
2024-02-25
Borussia Dortmund
2–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-02-17
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–1
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2024-02-11
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FC Koln
D
2024-02-04
VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-01-27
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
SV Werder Bremen Form
2024-03-03
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-02-24
SV Werder Bremen
1–1
SV Darmstadt 98
D
2024-02-16
1. FC Koln
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
W
2024-02-10
SV Werder Bremen
1–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
2024-02-03
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
W
2024-01-27
SV Werder Bremen
3–1
SC Freiburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for:
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
81%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
42%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or SV Werder Bremen
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
3 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | SV Werder Bremen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

