TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

2 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 14:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 9' Florian Wirtz

0–2 45+1' Alejandro Grimaldo

Anton Stach 56' 1–2

Wout Weghorst 58' 2–2

2–3 70' Alejandro Grimaldo

Wout Weghorst 45' Y

Ozan Kabak 48' Y

Grischa Promel 60' Y

Y 72' Lukas Hradecky

Y 81' Jonathan Tah

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Frank Willenborg
Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink

14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 16 games · Avg 3.5 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2022-08-20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-05-07 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2021-12-15 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–3	L
01 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–1	L
28 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–2	W
21 Oct	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–3	L
07 Oct	SV Werder Bremen	A	3–2	W
29 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–3	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	3–2	W
01 Nov	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	5–2	W
29 Oct	SC Freiburg	H	2–1	W
26 Oct	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	5–1	W
21 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
08 Oct	1. FC Koln	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#5	Position	#6
61	Points	59
34	Played	34
18 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
65	Scored	68
52	Conceded	47
+13	GD	+21
1.79	PPG	1.74
53%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim launch into their encounter with Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
9' Magnificent from Florian Wirtz! That is 62 goals in 541 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
14' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pellegrino Matarazzo will be considering his options from the bench.
19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Akpoguma made 407 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
24' Anton Stach has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ozan Kabak is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
39' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robert Skov suffering a number of foals already.
45' Poor challenge from Wout Weghorst. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
46' GOAL! Alejandro Grimaldo scores on 45. Assisted by Jonas Hofmann
46' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 46 minute. Odilon Kossounou leaves to be changed by Josip Stanisic.
48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ozan Kabak on 48.
53' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 529 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
56' Anton Stach has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
58' Wout Weghorst makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are in front.
60' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Grischa Promel gets a Yellow card.
65' It is a cagey affair so far. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Bayer 04 Leverkusen's compact 3-4-2-1.
70' Alejandro Grimaldo does the damage! The net is bulging and Bayer 04 Leverkusen surge ahead!
72' Lukas Hradecky has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 72.
77' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
78' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andrej Kramaric is hanging Finn Ole Becker on the field on 78 minute.
80' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 80 minute. Jonas Hofmann leaves to be changed by Robert Andrich.
81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jonathan Tah.
86' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
87' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Maximilian Beier exits the field as Mergim Berisha enters on 87.
88' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Kevin Akpoguma trudges off to be replaced by Bambase Conte on 88 minutes.
90' Adam Hlozek gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Florian Wirtz and will look to change the dynamic.
Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

10
Wout Weghorst
22
Kevin Vogt
25
Kevin Akpoguma ↓ Bambase Conte 88'
1
Oliver Baumann
6
Grischa Promel
21
Marius Bulter
5
Ozan Kabak
29
Robert Skov ↓ Ihlas Bebou 78'
20
Finn Ole Becker ↓ Andrej Kramaric 78'
14
Maximilian Beier ↓ Mergim Berisha 87'
16
Anton Stach

Bench

Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	6
Moussa Diaby	4
Robert Andrich	3
Christoph Baumgartner	3
Florian Wirtz	3
Andrej Kramaric	3
Victor Boniface	3
Georginio Rutter	3

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-11-01 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2023-10-28 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-10-21 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2023-10-07 SV Werder Bremen 2–3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2023-09-29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–3 Borussia Dortmund L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2023-11-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-11-01 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-10-29 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg W 2023-10-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2023-10-21 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-10-08 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC Koln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.86 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.43 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim29% Draw22% Bayer 04 Leverkusen49%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

51%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

71%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim25% Draw36% Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

7.4%

1 – 1

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 1

5.7%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

4.2%

1 – 4

3.6%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 3

3.4%

2 – 4

3.3%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	14%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	50%	—	50%
+1	50%	19%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	15%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.