Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 16:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Ihlas Bebou
Donyell Malen 21' 1–1
Nico Schlotterbeck 25' 2–1
2–2 61' Maximilian Beier
2–3 64' Maximilian Beier

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–3 L
20 Feb PSV A 1–1 D
17 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
09 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
17 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
11 Feb 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
04 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–2 D
27 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
20 Jan SC Freiburg A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#2 Position #5
73 Points 61
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
70 Scored 65
34 Conceded 52
+36 GD +13
2.15 PPG 1.79
65% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.2 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund53% Draw23% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim24%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
76%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
47%
Borussia Dortmund or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund41% Draw39% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.