Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Europe 2023-24 LAST 16

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 14 Mar 2024 · 20:00 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Qarabag Agdam FKEurope at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Qarabag Agdam FK H 3–2 W
10 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
07 Mar Qarabag Agdam FK A 2–2 D
03 Mar 1. FC Koln A 2–0 W
23 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
17 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
07 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
22 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–3 L
15 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 4–2 W
14 Dec BK Hacken H 2–1 W
30 Nov Molde FK A 2–2 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BayArena will turn into a battlefield for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julio Romao suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Qarabag Agdam FK started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 541 games and scored 751 goals.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jeremie Frimpong made 410 appearances and scored 36 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 28 minute. Jonas Hofmann leaves to be changed by Exequiel Palacios.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bayer 04 Leverkusen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' The travelling Qarabag Agdam FK supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' It looks surprising Qarabag Agdam FK does not make any changes. Marko Jankovic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 48' Supporters expect more eagerness from Granit Xhaka, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 53' Toral Bayramov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 58' Goal! Abdellah Zoubir scores his 13 goal in 252 matches.
  • 59' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 59 minute. Borja Iglesias leaves to be changed by Patrik Schick.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Elvin Cəfərquliyev.
  • 66' The whistle greets Yassine Benzia as he departs to be replaced by Toral Bayramov.
  • 67' Goal! Juninho scores his 20 goal in 144 matches.
  • 72' GOAL! Jeremie Frimpong scores on 72. Assisted by Alejandro Grimaldo
  • 77' Matheus Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leandro Andrade on 77 minute.
  • 78' The referee shows Qarabag Agdam FK player a card on 78.
  • 78' The whistle greets Juninho as he departs to be replaced by Nəriman Axundzadə.
  • 79' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 79 minute. Odilon Kossounou leaves to be changed by Josip Stanisic.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 86' Kevin Medina is replacing Marko Vesovic for the Qarabag Agdam FK side.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andrei Lunev on 90.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.98 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen55% Draw23% Qarabag Agdam FK22%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
77%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
45%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Qarabag Agdam FK
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen38% Draw41% Qarabag Agdam FK21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
26%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.