Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Jubilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 8.
- 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 18' Yuki Horigome has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 23' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 28' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 33' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yusuke Maruhashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tae-hyeon Kim made 279 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' Ryoga Sato puts Avispa Fukuoka on the lead.
- 46' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Taichi Kikuchi is replaced by Yoichi Naganuma on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Avispa Fukuoka is showing some good football. However, Avispa Fukuoka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 65' Goal! Wellington scores his 33 goal in 444 matches.
- 68' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Takeshi Kanamori is hanging Ryoga Sato on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Hiroyuki Mae.
- 74' Shahab Zahedi Tabar is replacing Wellington for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 76' The whistle greets Kohei Tezuka as he departs to be replaced by Shota Hino.
- 80' It’s gonna be a card for Yuki Horigome.
- 84' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Daiki Miya by Seiya Inoue on 84 minute.
- 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Avispa Fukuoka players.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Daiki Miya ↓ Seiya Inoue 84'
- 17
- 16
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masashi Kamekawa 84'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Yuji Kitajima 68'
- 37
- 31
- 6
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 68'
- 33
- 88
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 68'
-
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 84'
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 68'
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 84'
- 41
- 30
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Shota Hino 76'
- 28
- 99
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 84'
- 6
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 76'
-
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 46'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 76'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.