Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | FC Tokyo | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Jubilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Avispa Fukuoka kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 8' Kazuya Konno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 8.
- 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Shigetoshi Hasebe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 18' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Yuto Iwasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 33' Avispa Fukuoka are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
- 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' Seiji Kimura, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 45' A stunning finish from Ryoga Sato — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Yoichi Naganuma. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi on 46 minute.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daiki Miya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 61' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 65' The Brazil Wellington breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 2-0!
- 68' The whistle greets Ryoga Sato as he departs to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori.
- 73' It’s gonna be a card for Hiroyuki Mae.
- 74' Shahab Zahedi Tabar is replacing Wellington for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 76' Shota Hino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 76 minute.
- 80' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yuki Horigome on 80 minutes.
- 84' Seiya Inoue is replacing Daiki Miya for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 89' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Daiki Miya ↓ Seiya Inoue 84'
- 17
- 16
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Masashi Kamekawa 84'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Yuji Kitajima 68'
- 37
- 31
- 6
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 68'
- 33
- 88
Bench
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 68'
-
19
Masashi Kamekawa ↑ 84'
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 68'
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 84'
- 41
- 30
-
9
Shahab Zahedi Tabar ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Shota Hino 76'
- 28
- 99
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 84'
- 6
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 76'
-
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 46'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 76'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
77%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
13%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

