Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 06 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 49 | Scored | 48 |
| 59 | Conceded | 38 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Avispa Fukuoka welcome Cerezo Osaka FC for this crunch clash at Best Denki Stadium.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 7' It’s gonna be a card for Douglas Groli.
- 9' Leo Ceara has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
- 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 19' Avispa Fukuoka looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kazuki Fujimoto scoring 1 goals.
- 21' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuya Konno argues furiously but the card stands.
- 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Avispa Fukuoka winning 100% of all matches.
- 29' Shunta Tanaka makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Cerezo Osaka FC are in front.
- 31' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Shahab Zahedi Tabar gets a card.
- 36' The 28-year-old Seiya Maikuma has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 39' Tatsuki Nara was booked on 39.
- 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
- 46' Seiya Inoue is ready to make an impact after coming on for Douglas Groli at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Shahab Zahedi Tabar.
- 64' The crowd applauds Ryoga Sato as he leaves the pitch. Wellington steps in for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Kazuya Konno trudges off to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 73 minutes.
- 74' Another change for Avispa Fukuoka made on 74 minute. Daiki Matsuoka leaves to be changed by Masato Shigemi.
- 76' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Vitor Bueno trudges off to be replaced by Satoki Uejo on 76 minutes.
- 77' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Seiya Maikuma comes on to replace Hayato Okuda.
- 81' The whistle greets Jordy Croux as he departs to be replaced by Hirotaka Tameda.
- 82' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Leo Ceara is replaced by Hiroshi Kiyotake.
- 83' Controversy at the stadium! Hirotaka Tameda argues furiously but the card stands.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Itsuki Oda. He replaces Masaya Tashiro on 87 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Takeshi Kanamori.
- Avispa Fukuoka will have plenty to reflect on. Cerezo Osaka FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 18
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Itsuki Oda 87'
- 31
- 6
- 2
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 64'
- 9
-
33
Douglas Groli ↓ Seiya Inoue 46'
-
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Masato Shigemi 74'
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 64'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 87'
- 25
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 46'
- 41
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 82'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 81'
- 25
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Satoki Uejo 76'
- 21
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Seiya Maikuma 77'
Bench
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 82'
-
2
Seiya Maikuma ↑ 77'
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 81'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 76'
- 48
- 28
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Masaya Shibayama | 3 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Kato Mutsuki | 1 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 |
| Masakazu Yoshioka | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-18
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-04-27
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
53%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

