Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 06 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 49 | Scored | 48 |
| 59 | Conceded | 38 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Best Denki Stadium!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hirotaka Tameda made 369 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 7' Douglas Groli is having his name booked by the referee on 7.
- 9' Leo Ceara is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the .
- 14' The energy levels are beginning to show. Shigetoshi Hasebe might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rikito Inoue scoring 1 goals.
- 21' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kazuya Konno.
- 26' Hiroaki Okuno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 29' Shunta Tanaka adds to his 3 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 31' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Shahab Zahedi Tabar gets a card.
- 36' Douglas Groli is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tatsuki Nara.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' Douglas Groli makes way for Seiya Inoue at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
- 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 56' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 61' Shahab Zahedi Tabar was booked on 61.
- 64' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Ryoga Sato is withdrawn and Wellington gets his opportunity.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 73' Takeshi Kanamori is replacing Kazuya Konno for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 74' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masato Shigemi is hanging Daiki Matsuoka on the field on 74 minute.
- 76' Satoki Uejo gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Vitor Bueno and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Seiya Maikuma on, Hayato Okuda off on 77 minutes.
- 81' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Hirotaka Tameda on, Jordy Croux off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Hiroshi Kiyotake is replacing Leo Ceara for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 83' Hirotaka Tameda picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' Itsuki Oda is replacing Masaya Tashiro for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 90' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Takeshi Kanamori gets a card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Cerezo Osaka FC take all three points.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 18
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Itsuki Oda 87'
- 31
- 6
- 2
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 64'
- 9
-
33
Douglas Groli ↓ Seiya Inoue 46'
-
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Masato Shigemi 74'
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 64'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 87'
- 25
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 46'
- 41
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 82'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 81'
- 25
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Satoki Uejo 76'
- 21
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Seiya Maikuma 77'
Bench
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 82'
-
2
Seiya Maikuma ↑ 77'
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 81'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 76'
- 48
- 28
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Masaya Shibayama | 3 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Lukian | 1 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-18
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-04-27
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
53%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

