Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 15 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 06 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 49 | Scored | 48 |
| 59 | Conceded | 38 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka are looking to make home advantage count against Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 213 games and scored 224 goals.
- 7' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 7.
- 9' Assisted by Vitor Bueno with the perfectly-timed delivery and Leo Ceara makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 14' Itsuki Oda, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 21' The referee calls foul for Kazuya Konno. He receives a card.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shunta Tanaka made 83 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' Shunta Tanaka adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 31' Avispa Fukuoka receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' Avispa Fukuoka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' The referee calls foul for Tatsuki Nara. He receives a card.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Douglas Groli is withdrawn and Seiya Inoue gets his opportunity.
- 51' Seiya Maikuma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Shahab Zahedi Tabar. He receives a card.
- 64' Wellington gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Ryoga Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
- 69' Ryuya Nishio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 73' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Kazuya Konno is withdrawn and Takeshi Kanamori gets his opportunity.
- 74' Masato Shigemi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daiki Matsuoka at the 74 minute mark.
- 76' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Vitor Bueno has done his job and it is now time for Satoki Uejo to step up.
- 77' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 77 minute. Hayato Okuda leaves to be changed by Seiya Maikuma.
- 81' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Jordy Croux is replaced by Hirotaka Tameda on 81 minute.
- 82' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroshi Kiyotake is hanging Leo Ceara on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' Hirotaka Tameda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
- 87' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Masaya Tashiro exits the field as Itsuki Oda enters on 87.
- 90' Takeshi Kanamori catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Cerezo Osaka FC take all three points.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 18
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↓ Itsuki Oda 87'
- 31
- 6
- 2
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Wellington 64'
- 9
-
33
Douglas Groli ↓ Seiya Inoue 46'
-
88
Daiki Matsuoka ↓ Masato Shigemi 74'
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 64'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↑ 87'
- 25
-
4
Seiya Inoue ↑ 46'
- 41
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↑ 74'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 82'
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 81'
- 25
- 14
- 10
- 33
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Satoki Uejo 76'
- 21
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Seiya Maikuma 77'
Bench
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 82'
-
2
Seiya Maikuma ↑ 77'
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 81'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 76'
- 48
- 28
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Masaya Shibayama | 3 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Shunta Tanaka | 2 |
| Tomoya Miki | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Lukian | 1 |
| Hiroyuki Mae | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-18
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-04-27
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
53%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
68%
Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
1 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 4
3.8%
3 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 18% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 16% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

