Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ayumu Yokoyama 18' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	5–2	W
11 May	Júbilo Iwata	A	3–0	W
06 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
03 May	Tōkyō Verdy	H	0–2	L
28 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	4–2	W

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–5	L
11 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–0	W
06 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–1	D
03 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–2	D
20 Apr	Tōkyō Verdy	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

4/2

61-75

1/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

Marcinho	6 G	1 A
Yasuto Wakizaka	2 G	3 A
Tatsuya Ito	2 G	1 A
Lazar Romanic	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale.
5' Marcelo Ryan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
10' Sai van Wermeskerken has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 76 appearances.
13' GOAL! Kota Takai fires home to make it 0-1!
18' Ayumu Yokoyama has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
23' Yoichi Naganuma is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
26' A goal from the Japan international Ayumu Yokoyama! He fires home on 26 to make it 1-1!
31' Kawasaki Frontale is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Toru Oniki might look to freshen things up shortly.
37' What a strike from Ayumu Yokoyama! The score is 2-1.
42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marcelo Ryan makes it 3-1.
47' Brilliant from the ! Wataru Harada makes it 4-1 with a superb finish on 47.
48' What a strike from Akihiro Ienaga! The score is 4-2.
53' Shin Yamada, a Japan forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
58' The crowd applauds Marcinho as he leaves the pitch. Yasuto Wakizaka steps in for Kawasaki Frontale.
60' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Ayumu Yokoyama exits the field as Kosuke Yamazaki enters on 60.
65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
69' The Kawasaki Frontale bench stirs into life. Tatsuki Seko is withdrawn and Hinata Yamauchi gets his opportunity.
74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daiya Tono made 446 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
75' Atsushi Kawata adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 5-2 — and this changes everything.
78' Yusuke Segawa is replacing Takuma Ominami for the Kawasaki Frontale side.
83' Vinicius Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcelo Ryan on 83 minute.
88' Kawasaki Frontale fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 5-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 69'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 83'
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 83'
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 69'
42
Wataru Harada
5
So Kawahara
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Kosuke Yamazaki 60'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 83'

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 83'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 69'
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 83'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 60'
18
Shota Hino ↑ 69'
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Ze Ricardo
4
Jesiel ↑ 58'
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↑ 58'
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 78'
9
Erison ↑ 69'
1
Sung-ryong Jung
26
Hinata Yamauchi ↑ 69'

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Daiya Tono	1
Yuto Iwasaki	1
Tomoya Koyamatsu	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tōkyō Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-05-11 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-05-06 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-05-03 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Tōkyō Verdy D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC46% Draw25% Kawasaki Frontale29%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

54%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw42% Kawasaki Frontale23%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 0

6.2%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

5.3%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	15%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.