Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki FrontaleJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W
11 May Jubilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–5 L
11 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W
06 May Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
03 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 3–1 W
28 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 2–2 D
20 Apr Tokyo Verdy H 0–0 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 13' Goal! Kota Takai scores his 5 goal in 439 matches.
  • 18' Ayumu Yokoyama was booked on 18.
  • 23' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' GOAL! Ayumu Yokoyama scores on 26. Assisted by Taichi Kikuchi
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kento Tachibanada made 439 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' It’s high time Toru Oniki made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' Ayumu Yokoyama puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 3-1.
  • 47' What a strike from Wataru Harada! The score is 4-1.
  • 48' GOAL! Akihiro Ienaga scores on 45.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 58' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Marcinho departs to be replaced by Yasuto Wakizaka.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Kosuke Yamazaki. He replaces Ayumu Yokoyama on 60 minute.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Hinata Yamauchi. He replaces Tatsuki Seko on 69 minute.
  • 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daiya Tono suffering a number of foals already.
  • 75' GOAL! Atsushi Kawata scores on 75. Assisted by So Kawahara
  • 78' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Takuma Ominami departs to be replaced by Yusuke Segawa.
  • 83' The whistle greets Marcelo Ryan as he departs to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
  • 88' Takuma Ominami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC46% Draw25% Kawasaki Frontale29%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
54%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw42% Kawasaki Frontale23%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.