Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 11 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
5/2
16-30
–/3
31-45
8/5
46-60
5/5
61-75
4/6
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
| Marcinho | 8 G | 3 A |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 4 G | 4 A |
| Tatsuya Ito | 3 G | 3 A |
| Pedro Romano | 3 G | |
| Lazar Romanic | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Kawasaki Frontale.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 13' A stunning finish from Kota Takai — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 18' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 23' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' What a strike from Ayumu Yokoyama! The score is 1-1.
- 31' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 36' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Kawasaki Frontale's compact .
- 37' What a strike from Ayumu Yokoyama! The score is 2-1.
- 42' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kawasaki Frontale backline.
- 44' Marcelo Ryan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 47' The Japan Wataru Harada breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 4-1!
- 48' GOAL! Akihiro Ienaga scores on 45.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Kawasaki Frontale is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' The crowd applauds Marcinho as he leaves the pitch. Yasuto Wakizaka steps in for Kawasaki Frontale.
- 60' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 60 minute. Ayumu Yokoyama leaves to be changed by Kosuke Yamazaki.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 69' Hinata Yamauchi gets the nod from Kawasaki Frontale. He replaces Tatsuki Seko and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kohei Tezuka, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 75' What a moment for Atsushi Kawata! That strike on 75 puts his side firmly in control.
- 78' A change in the Kawasaki Frontale ranks — Takuma Ominami exits the field as Yusuke Segawa enters on 78.
- 83' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Marcelo Ryan trudges off to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo on 83 minutes.
- 88' It’s high time Kenta Kawai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale share the spoils 5-2.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 69'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 83'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 83'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 69'
- 42
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 83'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 69'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 83'
-
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 60'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 69'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kawasaki Frontale Lineups
Starting XI
-
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↓ Erison 69'
-
3
Takuma Ominami ↓ Yusuke Segawa 78'
-
23
Marcinho ↓ Yasuto Wakizaka 58'
- 99
-
31
Sai van Wermeskerken ↓ Jesiel 58'
-
16
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Hinata Yamauchi 69'
- 17
- 8
- 5
- 20
- 2
Bench
- 6
-
4
Jesiel ↑ 58'
-
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↑ 58'
-
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 78'
-
9
Erison ↑ 69'
- 1
-
26
Hinata Yamauchi ↑ 69'
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Akihiro Ienaga | 2 |
| Marcinho | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Leandro Damiao | 2 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Shogo Taniguchi | 1 |
| Wataru Harada | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kawasaki Frontale Form
2024-05-15
Sagan Tosu FC
5–2
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-05-11
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-05-06
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-05-03
Kawasaki Frontale
3–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Kawasaki Frontale
0–0
Tōkyō Verdy
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
54%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kawasaki Frontale covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

