Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

5 – 2

Full Time

Kawasaki Frontale

Wed 15 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ayumu Yokoyama 18' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.2 goals Kawasaki Frontale

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-31 Kawasaki Frontale 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-05-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Kawasaki Frontale

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	5–2	W
11 May	Jubilo Iwata	A	3–0	W
06 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
03 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–2	L
28 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–1	D
20 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	4–2	W

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–5	L
11 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	3–0	W
06 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–1	D
03 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	3–1	W
28 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–2	D
20 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium!
5' Kawasaki Frontale is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
10' Kawasaki Frontale have won 556 goals from 439 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
13' Brilliant from the ! Kota Takai makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 13.
18' Ayumu Yokoyama has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
26' What a strike from Ayumu Yokoyama! The score is 1-1.
31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
36' Japan international Kohei Tezuka has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
37' Ayumu Yokoyama puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
44' Marcelo Ryan does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
47' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Wataru Harada makes no mistake. 4-1!
48' Brilliant from the ! Akihiro Ienaga makes it 4-2 with a superb finish on 45.
53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kawasaki Frontale that had 439 games and scored 556 goals.
58' Yasuto Wakizaka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcinho on 58 minute.
60' Kosuke Yamazaki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ayumu Yokoyama on 60 minute.
65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
69' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Tatsuki Seko departs to be replaced by Hinata Yamauchi.
74' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
75' A goal from the Japan international Atsushi Kawata! He fires home on 75 to make it 5-2!
78' Fresh legs for Kawasaki Frontale! Yusuke Segawa comes on to replace Takuma Ominami.
83' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Marcelo Ryan has done his job and it is now time for Vinicius Araujo to step up.
88' Erison has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
The final score is 5-2.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 69'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 83'
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 83'
88
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 69'
42
Wataru Harada
5
So Kawahara
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Kosuke Yamazaki 60'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 83'

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 83'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 69'
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 83'
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 60'
18
Shota Hino ↑ 69'
1
Arnau Riera

Coach Kenta Kawai

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Ze Ricardo
4
Jesiel ↑ 58'
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↑ 58'
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 78'
9
Erison ↑ 69'
1
Sung-ryong Jung
26
Hinata Yamauchi ↑ 69'

Coach Toru Oniki

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ayumu Yokoyama	2
Akihiro Ienaga	2
Marcinho	2
Kei Chinen	2
Leandro Damiao	2
Atsushi Kawata	1
Shogo Taniguchi	1
Wataru Harada	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-05-11 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-05-06 Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-05-03 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-04-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-04-20 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Tokyo Verdy D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.85 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Kawasaki Frontale xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC46% Draw25% Kawasaki Frontale29%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Kawasaki Frontale

54%

Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw42% Kawasaki Frontale23%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 0

6.2%

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

5.3%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Kawasaki Frontale covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	20%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	15%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.