Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Kawasaki Frontale — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Jubilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 11 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Apr | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Kawasaki Frontale this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kawasaki Frontale
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Kawasaki Frontale.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 13' Goal! Kota Takai scores his 5 goal in 439 matches.
- 18' Ayumu Yokoyama was booked on 18.
- 23' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 26' GOAL! Ayumu Yokoyama scores on 26. Assisted by Taichi Kikuchi
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kento Tachibanada made 439 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' It’s high time Toru Oniki made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 37' Ayumu Yokoyama puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
- 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 44' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 3-1.
- 47' What a strike from Wataru Harada! The score is 4-1.
- 48' GOAL! Akihiro Ienaga scores on 45.
- 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 58' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Marcinho departs to be replaced by Yasuto Wakizaka.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Kosuke Yamazaki. He replaces Ayumu Yokoyama on 60 minute.
- 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Hinata Yamauchi. He replaces Tatsuki Seko on 69 minute.
- 74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daiya Tono suffering a number of foals already.
- 75' GOAL! Atsushi Kawata scores on 75. Assisted by So Kawahara
- 78' The Kawasaki Frontale manager makes a substitution. Takuma Ominami departs to be replaced by Yusuke Segawa.
- 83' The whistle greets Marcelo Ryan as he departs to be replaced by Vinicius Araujo.
- 88' Takuma Ominami has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Atsushi Kawata 69'
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 83'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 83'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 69'
- 42
- 5
- 13
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 83'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 69'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 83'
-
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 60'
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 69'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Kawasaki Frontale Lineups
Starting XI
-
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↓ Erison 69'
-
3
Takuma Ominami ↓ Yusuke Segawa 78'
-
23
Marcinho ↓ Yasuto Wakizaka 58'
- 99
-
31
Sai van Wermeskerken ↓ Jesiel 58'
-
16
Tatsuki Seko ↓ Hinata Yamauchi 69'
- 17
- 8
- 5
- 20
- 2
Bench
- 6
-
4
Jesiel ↑ 58'
-
14
Yasuto Wakizaka ↑ 58'
-
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 78'
-
9
Erison ↑ 69'
- 1
-
26
Hinata Yamauchi ↑ 69'
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcinho | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Leandro Damiao | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Akihiro Ienaga | 2 |
| Hiroyuki Abe | 1 |
| Shin Yamada | 1 |
| Yasuto Wakizaka | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Kawasaki Frontale Form
2024-05-15
Sagan Tosu FC
5–2
Kawasaki Frontale
L
2024-05-11
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-05-06
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-05-03
Kawasaki Frontale
3–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-04-20
Kawasaki Frontale
0–0
Tokyo Verdy
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Kawasaki Frontale xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
54%
Sagan Tosu FC or Kawasaki Frontale
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Kawasaki Frontale covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

