Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Shonan Bellmare
2 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Mon 6 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Min-tae Kim 37' Y
Kazunari Ono 45' Y
Y 70' Wataru Harada
Y 77' Seiji Kimura
Yuto Suzuki 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
27 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–3 D
20 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
13 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–2 D
07 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC is underway.
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 13' GOAL! Cayman Togashi scores on 13. Assisted by Kohei Tezuka
  • 18' Both keepers have barely been tested. Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Magnificent from Sho Fukuda! That is 14 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 37' That is a card for Shonan Bellmare. Min-tae Kim will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Kazunari Ono argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Hiroyuki Abe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 46' Satoshi Tanaka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Akimi Barada at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Taichi Kikuchi trudges off to be replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama on 58 minutes.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 68' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 68 minute. Kohei Tezuka leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yoichi Naganuma is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 69 minute.
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Wataru Harada.
  • 71' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Masaki Ikeda by Naoki Yamada on 71 minute.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Vinicius Araujo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Seiji Kimura.
  • 79' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Cayman Togashi exits the field as Vinicius Araujo enters on 79.
  • 82' Time for substitution for Shonan Bellmare. Taiyo Hiraoka is replaced by Kohei Okuno.
  • 87' Min-tae Kim has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 454 appearances.
  • 89' The whistle greets Sho Fukuda as he departs to be replaced by Hisatsugu Ishii.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Yuto Suzuki.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2

Head to Head

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-04-27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–3 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-20 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-13 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tōkyō Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare49% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
75%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.