Thursday , 2 July 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Shonan Bellmare
2 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Mon 6 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'
Min-tae Kim 37' Y
Kazunari Ono 45' Y
Y 70' Wataru Harada
Y 77' Seiji Kimura
Yuto Suzuki 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
5
5
Shonan Bellmare 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
27 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–3 D
20 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
13 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos A 2–2 D
07 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosuke Yamazaki made 279 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 13' What a strike from Cayman Togashi! The score is 0-1.
  • 18' Shonan Bellmare is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoyuki Fujita, as he is very good at scoring at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Goal! Sho Fukuda scores his 14 goal in 418 matches.
  • 30' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 37' The referee shows Shonan Bellmare player a card on 37.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kazunari Ono on 45.
  • 46' What a strike from Hiroyuki Abe! The score is 2-1.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Satoshi Tanaka. He replaces Akimi Barada on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shonan Bellmare that had 418 games and scored 315 goals.
  • 56' Kazunari Ono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Taichi Kikuchi by Ayumu Yokoyama on 58 minute.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tae-hyeon Kim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' Naoyuki Fujita is replacing Kohei Tezuka for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yoichi Naganuma is replaced by Yuki Horigome on 69 minute.
  • 70' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' Naoki Yamada is replacing Masaki Ikeda for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 76' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. So Kawahara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 79' Vinicius Araujo is replacing Cayman Togashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 82' The Shonan Bellmare manager makes a substitution. Taiyo Hiraoka departs to be replaced by Kohei Okuno.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 89' Hisatsugu Ishii is replacing Sho Fukuda for the Shonan Bellmare side.
  • 90' Yuto Suzuki was booked on 90.
  • Another three points for Shonan Bellmare.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 4
Yuki Ohashi 4
Yuji Ono 4
Yuta Fujihara 2
Isaac Cuenca 2
Cho Donggeon 2
Daichi Hayashi 2
Sho Fukuda 2

Head to Head

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-06-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–6 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-02-18 Sagan Tosu FC 1–5 Shonan Bellmare 2022-10-29 Shonan Bellmare 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-02-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-03 Kashima Antlers 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-04-27 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3–3 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-20 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-13 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-04-07 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare49% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
75%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.