Saturday , 14 November 2026

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Mon 6 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L
27 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 3–3 D
20 Apr Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
13 Apr Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–2 D
07 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L
07 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 Shonan Bellmare xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare49% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC25%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw
75%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
51%
Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shonan Bellmare33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap Shonan Bellmare covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.