Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 18 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W
11 May Júbilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sagan Tosu FC gets underway.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 6' The Japan Sho Inagaki breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-1!
  • 11' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 12' A moment of madness from Wataru Harada on 12 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 17' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 22' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 32' Yoichi Naganuma has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wataru Harada.
  • 41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Ryuji Izumi on 45 minutes earns him a card. Nagoya Grampus will be frustrated.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Ryuji Izumi as he leaves the pitch. Katsuhiro Nakayama steps in for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 50' What a strike from Ken Masui! The score is 0-2.
  • 54' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
  • 59' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
  • 71' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kasper Junker is hanging Patric on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Takuya Uchida trudges off to be replaced by Masahito Ono on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 81.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Tae-hyeon Kim as he leaves the pitch. Naoyuki Fujita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.