Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 18 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W
11 May Júbilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tōkyō Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Nagoya Grampus in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
  • 12' The referee calls foul for Wataru Harada. He receives a card.
  • 17' Kasper Junker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 32' Wataru Harada has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 36' Wataru Harada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryuji Izumi on 45.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Katsuhiro Nakayama on, Ryuji Izumi off on 46 minutes.
  • 50' Ken Masui adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu on 54 minute.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Atsushi Kawata. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 66 minute.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Patric is replaced by Kasper Junker on 71 minute.
  • 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masahito Ono is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 82' The whistle greets Tae-hyeon Kim as he departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • 87' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.