Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sagan Tosu FC
0 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sat 18 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Wataru Harada 12' Y
Wataru Harada 36' YR
Y 45' Ryuji Izumi

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

5
7
4
Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
15 May Kawasaki Frontale H 5–2 W
11 May Jubilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Sagan Tosu FC A 2–0 W
15 May FC Tōkyō H 3–1 W
11 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 3–2 W
03 May Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
28 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–2 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Ken Masui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 6' Sho Inagaki puts Nagoya Grampus on the lead.
  • 11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 12.
  • 17' Cayman Togashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 22' So Kawahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 27' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Il-kyu Park suffering a number of foals already.
  • 32' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 36.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Katsuhiro Nakayama.
  • 50' GOAL! Ken Masui scores on 50.
  • 54' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsunori Ueebisu is hanging Cayman Togashi on the field on 54 minute.
  • 59' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 66' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Atsushi Kawata is hanging Kohei Tezuka on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 71 minute. Patric leaves to be changed by Kasper Junker.
  • 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masahito Ono is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chang-rae Ha made 439 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Tae-hyeon Kim on 82 minute.
  • 87' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2

Head to Head

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-03-04 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-08-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-03-06 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tōkyō W 2024-05-11 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2024-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-05-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–2 Vissel Kobe L 2024-04-28 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw29% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC24% Draw48% Nagoya Grampus28%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.