Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 15 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 5–2 | W |
| 11 May | Júbilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium as Sagan Tosu FC face off against Nagoya Grampus in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It’s high time Kenta Hasegawa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 6' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 11' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 12' The referee calls foul for Wataru Harada. He receives a card.
- 17' Kasper Junker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 32' Wataru Harada has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 279 appearances.
- 36' Wataru Harada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 36.
- 41' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryuji Izumi on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Katsuhiro Nakayama on, Ryuji Izumi off on 46 minutes.
- 50' Ken Masui adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 54' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Cayman Togashi is replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu on 54 minute.
- 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Atsushi Kawata. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 66 minute.
- 71' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Patric is replaced by Kasper Junker on 71 minute.
- 76' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masahito Ono is hanging Takuya Uchida on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 82' The whistle greets Tae-hyeon Kim as he departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 87' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sagan Tosu FC.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Atsushi Kawata 66'
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 82'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Shota Hino 82'
- 42
- 5
- 13
-
20
Tae-hyeon Kim ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 82'
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 82'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 82'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 66'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 54'
- 2
-
18
Shota Hino ↑ 82'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↓ Masahito Ono 76'
- 1
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kasper Junker 71'
- 7
-
17
Ken Masui ↓ Kensuke Nagai 76'
- 5
- 20
- 3
Bench
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 76'
- 16
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 46'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 71'
- 24
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 76'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
66%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

