Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Fri 26 Aug 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League .

Match Details

  • Referee Matsuo Hajime

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 1–1 D
20 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
14 Aug Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
07 Aug Júbilo Iwata H 2–0 W
31 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–3 D
16 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–1 D
20 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 1–4 L
14 Aug Kashima Antlers A 0–2 L
30 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–2 L
16 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
10 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Avispa Fukuoka's shape.
  • 15' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 17' Fuchi Honda adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 22' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' What a moment for Jordy Croux! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yota Maejima.
  • 36' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Shinya Nakano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Yota Maejima is replaced by Masato Yuzawa on 46 minute.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Taisei Miyashiro.
  • 60' Takeshi Kanamori is replacing Tatsuya Tanaka for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! Daiki Miya argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 64' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Fuchi Honda by Yuki Kakita on 64 minute.
  • 69' The 33-year-old John Mary has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' Jun Nishikawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuto Iwasaki at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 83' A change in the Avispa Fukuoka ranks — Juanma exits the field as John Mary enters on 83.
  • 85' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yoichi Naganuma departs to be replaced by Taichi Kikuchi.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for John Mary. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.08 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC41% Draw32% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
59%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Avispa Fukuoka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
11%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.