Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 25 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
15 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–1 W
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–4 L
06 May Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 2–1 W
18 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–3 L
15 May Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
11 May Kyōto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
06 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
03 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Albirex Niigata launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hiroyuki Mae made 204 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Avispa Fukuoka's compact .
  • 20' The 26-year-old Motoki Nagakura has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' Fumiya Hayakawa, a Japan , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 33' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Seiya Inoue.
  • 37' Hiroyuki Mae adds to his 0 season tally! Avispa Fukuoka lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Masaaki Murakami, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 47' Kazuya Konno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 52' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 69' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Yota Komi is replaced by Eitaro Matsuda.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Reiju Tsuruno is replaced by Masato Shigemi on 73 minute.
  • 76' A moment of madness from Douglas Groli on 76 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
  • 81' Avispa Fukuoka have won 218 goals from 204 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 84' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 84 minute. Kazuhiko Chiba leaves to be changed by Yuzuru Shimada.
  • 85' Goal! Kazuya Konno scores his 17 goal in 441 matches.
  • 87' Yuji Kitajima gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Kazuya Konno and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Avispa Fukuoka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata37% Draw28% Avispa Fukuoka35%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
66%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
63%
Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata28% Draw46% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.