Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 25 May 2024 · 07:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
19 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
15 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–1 W
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–4 L
06 May Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
03 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Albirex Niigata A 2–1 W
18 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–3 L
15 May Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
11 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
06 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–1 D
03 May Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host Avispa Fukuoka — let the battle begin!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 15' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
  • 25' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Douglas Groli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 200 appearances.
  • 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Seiya Inoue on 33.
  • 37' What composure from Hiroyuki Mae! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 42' Albirex Niigata have won 119 goals from 110 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 47' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Albirex Niigata started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
  • 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 69' Eitaro Matsuda is replacing Yota Komi for the Albirex Niigata side.
  • 73' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Reiju Tsuruno is withdrawn and Masato Shigemi gets his opportunity.
  • 76' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 76.
  • 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Kazuhiko Chiba as he leaves the pitch. Yuzuru Shimada steps in for Albirex Niigata.
  • 85' What composure from Kazuya Konno! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Kazuya Konno is replaced by Yuji Kitajima.
  • Albirex Niigata will have plenty to reflect on. Avispa Fukuoka were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata37% Draw28% Avispa Fukuoka35%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
66%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
63%
Albirex Niigata or Avispa Fukuoka
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata28% Draw46% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
26%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.