Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 17,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Takeshi Kanamori

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
16 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
08 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
30 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
25 Jun Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium that hosts another battle between Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hwang Seokho on 11.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tatsuya Tanaka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 21' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
  • 31' Yuto Hiratsuka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' It looks surprising Avispa Fukuoka does not make any changes. Yuya Yamagishi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' What a moment for Takeshi Kanamori! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 49' Akito Fukuta gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Wataru Harada and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Yosuke Ideguchi is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 53.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 67' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Kohei Tezuka exits the field as Cayman Togashi enters on 67.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Masato Yuzawa is replaced by Seiya Inoue on 75 minute.
  • 80' Ryoga Sato is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Takeshi Kanamori is replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 82' A moment of madness from Tatsuya Tanaka on 82 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Lukian trudges off to be replaced by Yuto Hiratsuka on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw33% Avispa Fukuoka38%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw55% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.