Saturday , 12 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 17,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Takeshi Kanamori

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
16 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
08 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
30 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
25 Jun Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/2
16-30
1/
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sagan Tosu FC launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' Avispa Fukuoka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hwang Seokho on 11 minutes.
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 26' Avispa Fukuoka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' South Korea international Hwang Seokho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuto Iwasaki suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' The travelling Avispa Fukuoka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' What composure from Takeshi Kanamori! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 49' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Wataru Harada trudges off to be replaced by Akito Fukuta on 49 minutes.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Yosuke Ideguchi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Cayman Togashi.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Masato Yuzawa has done his job and it is now time for Seiya Inoue to step up.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 81' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Takeshi Kanamori on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Tatsuya Tanaka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 90' Yuto Hiratsuka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lukian on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw33% Avispa Fukuoka38%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw55% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.