Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 17,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Takeshi Kanamori

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
16 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
08 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
30 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
25 Jun Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Avispa Fukuoka get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
  • 5' The 32-year-old Masato Yuzawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hwang Seokho on 11.
  • 16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 21' Lukian has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' Taichi Kikuchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
  • 45' The Japan Takeshi Kanamori breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
  • 49' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Wataru Harada departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
  • 53' Yosuke Ideguchi was booked on 53.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tatsuya Tanaka made 403 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Cayman Togashi. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 67 minute.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Masato Yuzawa is replaced by Seiya Inoue.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Takeshi Kanamori on the field on 81 minute.
  • 82' Tatsuya Tanaka is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 87' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yosuke Ideguchi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Lukian has done his job and it is now time for Yuto Hiratsuka to step up.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw33% Avispa Fukuoka38%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw55% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.