Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 6 Aug 2023 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 17,799 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45' Takeshi Kanamori

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
16 Jul Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
08 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
01 Jul Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–2 L
24 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 6–0 W
10 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
16 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
08 Jul Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
30 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
25 Jun Vissel Kobe H 0–3 L
11 Jun Nagoya Grampus A 1–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sagan Tosu FC welcome Avispa Fukuoka for this crunch clash at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 11' Hwang Seokho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Avispa Fukuoka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 26' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Avispa Fukuoka that had 200 games and scored 210 goals.
  • 36' Yosuke Ideguchi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
  • 41' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' Takeshi Kanamori doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 49' The supporters are chanting for Akito Fukuta. He replaces Wataru Harada on 49 minute.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Yosuke Ideguchi is booked for Avispa Fukuoka — card on 53.
  • 58' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 67' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Kohei Tezuka is withdrawn and Cayman Togashi gets his opportunity.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 75' Masato Yuzawa makes way for Seiya Inoue at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Horigome suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' Masaya Tashiro is replacing Takeshi Kanamori for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tatsuya Tanaka on 82.
  • 87' Masaaki Murakami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 200 appearances.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Lukian is replaced by Yuto Hiratsuka on 90 minute.
  • Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Avispa Fukuoka were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw33% Avispa Fukuoka38%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw55% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 22% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.