Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jul | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 6–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Jul | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Avispa Fukuoka get us underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- 5' The 32-year-old Masato Yuzawa has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hwang Seokho on 11.
- 16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 21' Lukian has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 26' Taichi Kikuchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Avispa Fukuoka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 41' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Avispa Fukuoka backline.
- 45' The Japan Takeshi Kanamori breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 0-1!
- 49' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Wataru Harada departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
- 53' Yosuke Ideguchi was booked on 53.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tatsuya Tanaka made 403 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Cayman Togashi. He replaces Kohei Tezuka on 67 minute.
- 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 75' Time for substitution for Avispa Fukuoka. Masato Yuzawa is replaced by Seiya Inoue.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' Avispa Fukuoka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Takeshi Kanamori on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Tatsuya Tanaka is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 87' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Yosuke Ideguchi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' Avispa Fukuoka ring the changes. Lukian has done his job and it is now time for Yuto Hiratsuka to step up.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Yuta Fujihara 90'
- 20
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Cayman Togashi 67'
-
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 67'
- 24
- 71
- 44
- 23
-
42
Wataru Harada ↓ Akito Fukuta 49'
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 67'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 49'
- 14
-
25
Yuta Fujihara ↑ 90'
-
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 90'
- 35
-
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 67'
Coach
Kenta Kawai
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 99
- 3
- 7
-
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Tatsuya Tanaka 81'
-
9
Lukian ↓ Yuto Hiratsuka 90'
- 31
- 6
- 11
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↓ Seiya Inoue 75'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↓ Kazuya Konno 75'
- 33
Bench
- 18
- 1
-
14
Tatsuya Tanaka ↑ 81'
-
8
Kazuya Konno ↑ 75'
-
–
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 81'
-
35
Yuto Hiratsuka ↑ 90'
-
26
Seiya Inoue ↑ 75'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.88
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.96
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
67%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 3
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

