Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Avispa Fukuoka launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 30' The 29-year-old Kazuya Konno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuto Iwasaki on 35.
- 36' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Horigome. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 36 minute.
- 41' Japan international Yuto Iwasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoichi Naganuma on 45.
- 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 65' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Kentaro Moriya on 67 minute.
- 68' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuji Ono is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
- 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryonosuke Kabayama suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Lukian departs to be replaced by Ryoga Sato.
- 75' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Masato Shigemi by Yuto Hiratsuka on 75 minute.
- 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 86' Hisashi Jogo gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 90' Yuki Horigome is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- 90' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 90 minute.
- 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 14
- 8
-
9
Lukian ↓ Ryoga Sato 74'
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Wellington 68'
- 31
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Hisashi Jogo 86'
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuto Hiratsuka 75'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 68'
- 1
-
10
Hisashi Jogo ↑ 86'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 74'
-
35
Yuto Hiratsuka ↑ 75'
- 28
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 68'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 67'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 68'
- 29
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Horigome 36'
- 30
- 24
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 67'
- 7
- 18
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 90'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 68'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 36'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
62%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

