Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Avispa Fukuoka

0 – 0

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 14 May 2023 · 04:30 UTC Best Denki Stadium 13,719 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lukian 25' Y

Y 35' Yuto Iwasaki

R 45' Yoichi Naganuma

Y 87' Atsushi Kawata

Y 90' Yuki Horigome

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Hiroki Kasahara
Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

7 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 8 games · Avg 1.0 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-04-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-09-25 Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-03-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–0	D
07 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–3	L
03 May	FC Tōkyō	H	1–0	W
29 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–2	D
15 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	2–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 May	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–0	D
10 May	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–0	W
07 May	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
03 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–3	L
23 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	3–2	W
15 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

–/–

61-75

4/2

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kennedy Egbus Mikuni suffering a number of foals already.
15' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' Kazuya Konno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' It’s a booking for Avispa Fukuoka player. Lukian gets a Yellow card.
30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuto Iwasaki on 35.
36' The crowd applauds Fuchi Honda as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Horigome steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
45' Yoichi Naganuma has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 45.
50' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
55' Avispa Fukuoka have won 210 goals from 200 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
65' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 65 minutes.
67' Kentaro Moriya makes way for Naoyuki Fujita at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
68' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuji Ono is replaced by Atsushi Kawata on 68 minute.
73' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
74' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Lukian trudges off to be replaced by Ryoga Sato on 74 minutes.
75' The supporters are chanting for Yuto Hiratsuka. He replaces Masato Shigemi on 75 minute.
80' The 24-year-old Masato Shigemi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
85' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
86' The supporters are chanting for Hisashi Jogo. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi on 86 minute.
87' The referee has no hesitation. Atsushi Kawata is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 87.
90' A moment of madness from Yuki Horigome on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
90' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yuto Iwasaki exits the field as Ryonosuke Kabayama enters on 90.
0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

18
Wellington ↑ 68'
1
Takumi Nagaishi
10
Hisashi Jogo ↑ 86'
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 74'
35
Yuto Hiratsuka ↑ 75'
28
Reiju Tsuruno
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 68'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 67'
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 68'
29
Yuto Iwasaki ↓ Ryonosuke Kabayama 90'
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Horigome 36'
30
Masaya Tashiro
24
Yoichi Naganuma
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	2
Jordy Croux	1
Wellington	1
Ryoga Sato	1
Takeshi Kanamori	1
Juanma	1
Daiki Watari	1
Shun Nakamura	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-05-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka L 2023-05-03 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 FC Tōkyō W 2023-04-29 Avispa Fukuoka 1–3 Kawasaki Frontale L 2023-04-23 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2023-04-15 Albirex Niigata 3–2 Avispa Fukuoka L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-05-14 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-05-10 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-05-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2023-04-23 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2023-04-15 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.99 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Avispa Fukuoka38% Draw33% Sagan Tosu FC29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes38% 0% No62%

Avg goals/match: 1.86

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	82%	18%
± 1.5	56%	44%
± 2.5	29%	71%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

71%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

62%

Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC

67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw57% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

14.4%

1 – 0

14%

0 – 1

12%

2 – 0

7.3%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 2

3 – 0

2.4%

3 – 1

2.2%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	22%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	19%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.