Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
- Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
- Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 May | FC Tokyo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
13%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Avispa Fukuoka is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lukian.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 35' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Iwasaki argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 36' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Horigome on 36 minutes.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Yoichi Naganuma is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Red card on 45.
- 50' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Yota Maejima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Kentaro Moriya leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
- 68' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Atsushi Kawata is hanging Yuji Ono on the field on 68 minute.
- 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 74' Ryoga Sato is replacing Lukian for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
- 75' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Yuto Hiratsuka comes on to replace Masato Shigemi.
- 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Douglas Groli made 213 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 85' Yuto Iwasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 381 appearances.
- 86' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Hisashi Jogo on, Yuya Yamagishi off on 86 minutes.
- 87' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Atsushi Kawata will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Yuki Horigome picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' Ryonosuke Kabayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 14
- 8
-
9
Lukian ↓ Ryoga Sato 74'
-
29
Yota Maejima ↓ Wellington 68'
- 31
- 6
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Hisashi Jogo 86'
-
30
Masato Shigemi ↓ Yuto Hiratsuka 75'
- 33
Bench
-
18
Wellington ↑ 68'
- 1
-
10
Hisashi Jogo ↑ 86'
-
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 74'
-
35
Yuto Hiratsuka ↑ 75'
- 28
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 68'
Coach
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
19
Kentaro Moriya ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 67'
-
10
Yuji Ono ↓ Atsushi Kawata 68'
- 29
-
8
Fuchi Honda ↓ Yuki Horigome 36'
- 30
- 24
- 71
- 23
- 42
- 2
- 5
Bench
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 67'
- 7
- 18
-
41
Ryonosuke Kabayama ↑ 90'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 68'
-
44
Yuki Horigome ↑ 36'
- 35
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Juanma | 1 |
| Daiki Watari | 1 |
| Shun Nakamura | 1 |
| Fuchi Honda | 1 |
| Jordy Croux | 1 |
| Wellington | 1 |
| Ryoga Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
62%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

