Saturday , 14 November 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 14 May 2023 · 04:30 UTC Best Denki Stadium 13,719 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
03 May FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
29 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 1–3 L
23 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–2 D
15 Apr Albirex Niigata A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
10 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
07 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 May Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–3 L
23 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Avispa Fukuoka is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lukian.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 35' Controversy at the stadium! Yuto Iwasaki argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 36' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Fuchi Honda trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Horigome on 36 minutes.
  • 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Yoichi Naganuma is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Red card on 45.
  • 50' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' Yota Maejima has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 67 minute. Kentaro Moriya leaves to be changed by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • 68' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Atsushi Kawata is hanging Yuji Ono on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 74' Ryoga Sato is replacing Lukian for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Yuto Hiratsuka comes on to replace Masato Shigemi.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Douglas Groli made 213 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Yuto Iwasaki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 381 appearances.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Hisashi Jogo on, Yuya Yamagishi off on 86 minutes.
  • 87' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Atsushi Kawata will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Yuki Horigome picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Ryonosuke Kabayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka38% Draw33% Sagan Tosu FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
62%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw57% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.