Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sun 14 May 2023 · 04:30 UTC Best Denki Stadium 13,719 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–0 D
07 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–3 L
03 May FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
29 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 1–3 L
23 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–2 D
15 Apr Albirex Niigata A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 May Avispa Fukuoka A 0–0 D
10 May Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–0 W
07 May Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
23 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC A 3–2 W
15 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Werik 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Avispa Fukuoka launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 30' The 29-year-old Kazuya Konno has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuto Iwasaki on 35.
  • 36' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Horigome. He replaces Fuchi Honda on 36 minute.
  • 41' Japan international Yuto Iwasaki has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoichi Naganuma on 45.
  • 50' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Naoyuki Fujita. He replaces Kentaro Moriya on 67 minute.
  • 68' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuji Ono is replaced by Atsushi Kawata.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryonosuke Kabayama suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Lukian departs to be replaced by Ryoga Sato.
  • 75' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Masato Shigemi by Yuto Hiratsuka on 75 minute.
  • 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 86' Hisashi Jogo gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Yuya Yamagishi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 90' Yuki Horigome is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryonosuke Kabayama is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 90 minute.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Avispa Fukuoka or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka38% Draw33% Sagan Tosu FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
71%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
62%
Avispa Fukuoka or Sagan Tosu FC
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka24% Draw57% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12%
2 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 0
2.4%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 22% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 19% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.