Thursday , 2 July 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
AD Ceuta FC
1 – 4
Full Time
Malaga CF
Sat 16 May 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Joaquin Munoz
0–2 13' Chupe
0–3 43' Chupe
Einar Galilea 52' 1–3
1–4 82' Aaron Ochoa
Marino Illescas 34' Y
Ignacio Schor 48' Y
Y 64' Aaron Ochoa
Manuel Sanchez 77' Y
Yann Bodiger 77' Y
Y 84' Darko Brasanac

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga CF — Segunda Division at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruna 42 77
3 UD Almeria 42 74
4 Malaga CF 42 73
5 UD Las Palmas 42 73
6 CD Castellon 42 72
7 Burgos CF 42 72
8 SD Eibar 42 67
9 Real Sporting de Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba CF 42 61
11 AD Ceuta FC 42 61
12 Albacete Balompie 42 59
13 Andorra CF 42 58
14 Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 47
16 CD Leganes 42 46
17 Real Valladolid CF 42 46
18 Cadiz CF 42 43
19 CD Mirandes 42 40
20 SD Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 36

Head-to-Head

2
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Malaga CF
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-16 AD Ceuta FC 1–4 Malaga CF 2026-01-11 Malaga CF 2–1 AD Ceuta FC

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Malaga CF H 1–4 L
09 May CD Castellon H 1–1 D
03 May Real Sporting de Gijon A 2–1 W
26 Apr Real Racing Club de Santander H 0–0 D
18 Apr Real Zaragoza A 2–2 D
10 Apr Real Sociedad B H 0–0 D
Malaga CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May AD Ceuta FC A 4–1 W
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Malaga CF
#11 Position #4
61 Points 73
42 Played 42
17 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
51 Scored 75
63 Conceded 52
-12 GD +23
1.45 PPG 1.74
40% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 11th (61 pts). Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Goal! Joaquin Munoz scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
  • 10' Malaga CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 13' Goal! Chupe scores his 2 goal in 84 matches.
  • 18' Malaga CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Malaga CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' It looks surprising Malaga CF does not make any changes. Angel Recio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' The referee calls foul for Marino Illescas. He receives a card.
  • 37' Goal! Manuel Sanchez scores his 0 goal in 42 matches.
  • 42' Puga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' What a strike from Chupe! The score is 1-3.
  • 48' AD Ceuta FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
  • 52' Goal! Einar Galilea scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
  • 57' It’s high time Jose Romero made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aaron Ochoa on 64.
  • 69' Malaga CF looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Chupe scoring 2 goals.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 77' The referee calls foul for Manuel Sanchez. He receives a card.
  • 82' GOAL! Aaron Ochoa scores on 82.
  • 84' Darko Brasanac is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rafa Rodriguez suffering a number of foals already.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Malaga CF players.

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jose Romero

Malaga CF Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Funes

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4 Malaga CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC23% Draw23% Malaga CF54%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Malaga CF
77%
AD Ceuta FC or Malaga CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC17% Draw38% Malaga CF45%
Actual: Malaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Malaga CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 21% 41%
+1.5 59% — 41%
+2 59% 18% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.