Thursday , 2 July 2026

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC La Rosaleda 27,896 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Jonathan Dubasin
Chupete 54' 1–1
Joaquin Munoz 86' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de GijonSegunda Division at La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Sanchez Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jesus Mira Garcia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Hernandez Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
04 Apr RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Malaga CF A 1–2 L
03 May AD Ceuta FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Cordoba CF A 2–3 L
19 Apr Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
11 Apr Burgos CF A 0–1 L
06 Apr Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Malaga CF Real Sporting de Gijon
#4 Position #9
73 Points 61
42 Played 42
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 17
75 Scored 60
52 Conceded 54
+23 GD +6
1.74 PPG 1.45
50% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). Real Sporting de Gijon are 9th (61 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.16 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Real Sporting de Gijon xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF59% Draw22% Real Sporting de Gijon19%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
81%
Draw or Real Sporting de Gijon
41%
Malaga CF or Real Sporting de Gijon
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Malaga CF42% Draw40% Real Sporting de Gijon18%
Actual: Real Sporting de Gijon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push Real Sporting de Gijon covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 21% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
30%
Real Sporting de Gijon keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.