Wednesday , 19 August 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
1 4
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Joaquin Munoz
0–2 13' Chupe
0–3 43' Chupe
Einar Galilea 52' 1–3
1–4 82' Aaron Ochoa

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Malaga CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Malaga CF H 1–4 L
09 May CD Castellon H 1–1 D
03 May Real Sporting de Gijon A 2–1 W
26 Apr Real Racing Club de Santander H 0–0 D
18 Apr Real Zaragoza A 2–2 D
10 Apr Real Sociedad B H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May AD Ceuta FC A 4–1 W
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Malaga CF
#29 Position #3
0 Points 73
1 Played 42
0 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
1 Scored 75
5 Conceded 52
-4 GD +23
0.00 PPG 1.74
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 29th (0 pts). Malaga CF are 3rd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube will turn into a battlefield for AD Ceuta FC and Malaga CF.
  • 5' Goal! Joaquin Munoz scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
  • 10' Malaga CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 13' Chupe adds to his 0 season tally! Malaga CF lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Malaga CF that had 84 games and scored 64 goals.
  • 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' David Larrubia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Marino Illescas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
  • 37' Manuel Sanchez adds to his 0 season tally! AD Ceuta FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' Konrad de la Fuente needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' What a strike from Chupe! The score is 1-3.
  • 48' Poor challenge from Ignacio Schor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 52' Einar Galilea is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 57' Jamelli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jose Romero will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Ochoa.
  • 69' AD Ceuta FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Sanchez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Aaron Ochoa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' The referee shows Malaga CF player a card on 84.
  • 89' AD Ceuta FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The points are shared — AD Ceuta FC 1-4 Malaga CF. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.67 Malaga CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 91% + Malaga CF to win 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC13% Draw14% Malaga CF73%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 5.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 91%
9%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 63%
37%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
27%
Draw or Malaga CF
87%
AD Ceuta FC or Malaga CF
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC6% Draw21% Malaga CF73%
Actual: Malaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 5
6.7%
0 – 4
6.6%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 5
6.1%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 6
5.2%
0 – 6
4.7%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
2 – 4
4.1%
2 – 5
3.8%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Malaga CF covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 12% 88%
+1 12% 12% 77%
+1.5 23% 77%
+2 23% 16% 60%
+2.5 40% 60%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
1%
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.