Tuesday , 10 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
6 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 16.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
19 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 4–2 W
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern Munchen
#12 Position #1
10 Points 21
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
18 Scored 29
19 Conceded 9
-1 GD +20
1.11 PPG 2.33
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Dominik Kohr has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' The deadlock is broken! Paul Nebel gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
  • 33' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 46' Aleksandar Pavlovic makes way for Harry Kane at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Sheraldo Becker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Nicolas Jackson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 57' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 57 minute. Raphael Guerreiro leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • 71' Armindo Sieb gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Sheraldo Becker and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Magnificent from Michael Olise! That is 58 goals in 390 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 77' Jonathan Tah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bara Sapoko Ndiaye on 77 minute.
  • 79' Lennart Maloney has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 79 minute.
  • 80' The Germany Jamal Musiala breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 3-3!
  • 80' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Anthony Caci on, Silvan Widmer off on 80 minutes.
  • 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 3-4.
  • 85' Nelson Weiper is replacing Dominik Kohr for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Michael Olise on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.33 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw18% FC Bayern Munchen64%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
37%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
82%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0514% Draw30% FC Bayern Munchen56%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 3
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 4
6.1%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
4.3%
1 – 5
4.1%
2 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 8% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 28% — 72%
+1 28% 18% 55%
+1.5 45% — 55%
+2 45% 19% 36%
+2.5 64% — 36%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
4% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.