1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 4

Full Time

FC Bayern München

Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Dominik Kohr 20' Y

Y 33' Konrad Laimer

Y 90' Michael Olise

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 34 games · 89 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Petersen

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC Bayern München

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	3–4	L
19 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	SC Freiburg	H	0–1	L
04 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	4–3	W
22 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	2–0	W
19 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	4–2	W
15 Apr	Real Madrid CF	H	4–3	W
11 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	5–0	W
07 Apr	Real Madrid CF	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		FC Bayern München
#10	Position	#1
40	Points	89
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	28 / 5 / 1
44	Scored	122
53	Conceded	36
-9	GD	+86
1.18	PPG	2.62
29%	Win %	82%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München.
5' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
15' Dominik Kohr does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
20' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 20.
25' Aleksandar Pavlovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 540 appearances.
29' Paul Nebel adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Konrad Laimer on 33.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' FC Bayern München are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
46' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Aleksandar Pavlovic is withdrawn and Harry Kane gets his opportunity.
47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sheraldo Becker makes it 3-0.
52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
53' The deadlock is broken! Nicolas Jackson gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
57' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Raphael Guerreiro is replaced by Jamal Musiala on 57 minute.
62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
67' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
71' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Sheraldo Becker is replaced by Armindo Sieb.
73' A stunning finish from Michael Olise — that came from absolutely nowhere!
77' Jonathan Tah gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Bara Sapoko Ndiaye and will look to change the dynamic.
79' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 79 minute. Nadiem Amiri leaves to be changed by Lennart Maloney.
80' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 3-3!
80' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Anthony Caci on, Silvan Widmer off on 80 minutes.
83' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 3-4.
85' Nelson Weiper is replacing Dominik Kohr for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Michael Olise.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

Starting XI

8
Leon Goretzka
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Jamal Musiala 57'
27
Konrad Laimer
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Michael Olise 46'
19
Alphonso Davies ↓ Josip Stanisic 57'
21
Hiroki Ito
3
Min-Jae Kim
40
Jonas Urbig
11
Nicolas Jackson
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic ↓ Harry Kane 46'
39
Bara Ndiaye ↓ Jonathan Tah 77'

Bench

9
Harry Kane ↑ 46'
1
Manuel Neuer
4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 77'
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 57'
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 57'
34
Deniz Ofli
43
Filip Pavic
33
Bastian Assomo

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Harry Kane	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-19 FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2026-04-15 FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid CF L 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-07 Real Madrid CF 1–2 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

3.11 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw19% FC Bayern Munchen64%

Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 4.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

36%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

83%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw32% FC Bayern Munchen55%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 3

7.8%

1 – 2

7.7%

0 – 2

6.5%

0 – 3

6.4%

1 – 4

1 – 1

5.7%

0 – 4

4.9%

2 – 3

4.8%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 1

3.9%

1 – 5

3.8%

2 – 4

3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	3%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	7%	88%
-0.5	12%	—	88%
+0.5	27%	—	73%
+1	27%	18%	54%
+1.5	46%	—	54%
+2	46%	19%	35%
+2.5	65%	—	35%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.