Saturday , 26 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
19 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 4–2 W
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern Munchen
#6 Position #2
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. 1. FSV Mainz 05 host FC Bayern München — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Luis Diaz is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 10' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Dominik Kohr is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 29' A stunning finish from Paul Nebel — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 33' Controversy at the stadium! Konrad Laimer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harry Kane is hanging Aleksandar Pavlovic on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' Brilliant from the ! Sheraldo Becker makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 52' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' Brilliant from the forward! Nicolas Jackson makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 53.
  • 57' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Raphael Guerreiro is withdrawn and Jamal Musiala gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 67' Kaishu Sano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 71' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Armindo Sieb on, Sheraldo Becker off on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Assisted by Konrad Laimer with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michael Olise makes no mistake. 3-2!
  • 77' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Bara Sapoko Ndiaye trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Tah on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 79 minute. Nadiem Amiri leaves to be changed by Lennart Maloney.
  • 80' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 3-3!
  • 80' Anthony Caci is replacing Silvan Widmer for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 83' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Dominik Kohr as he leaves the pitch. Nelson Weiper steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 90' Michael Olise is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.78 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw20% FC Bayern Munchen62%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
38%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
82%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw34% FC Bayern Munchen53%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 3
7.8%
1 – 1
7.1%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 4
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 4
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
3.6%
2 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 8% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 30% — 70%
+1 30% 20% 50%
+1.5 50% — 50%
+2 50% 20% 31%
+2.5 69% — 31%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.