1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
6 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 16.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern Munchen | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Koln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | H | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Apr | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern Munchen | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 10 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 18 | Scored | 29 |
| 19 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | +20 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 1st (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Dominik Kohr has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
- 20' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 29' The deadlock is broken! Paul Nebel gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
- 33' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 46' Aleksandar Pavlovic makes way for Harry Kane at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 47' A stunning finish from Sheraldo Becker — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 53' A stunning finish from Nicolas Jackson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 57' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 57 minute. Raphael Guerreiro leaves to be changed by Jamal Musiala.
- 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 67' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
- 71' Armindo Sieb gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Sheraldo Becker and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Magnificent from Michael Olise! That is 58 goals in 390 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 77' Jonathan Tah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bara Sapoko Ndiaye on 77 minute.
- 79' Lennart Maloney has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nadiem Amiri on 79 minute.
- 80' The Germany Jamal Musiala breaks the deadlock on 80 minutes. 3-3!
- 80' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Anthony Caci on, Silvan Widmer off on 80 minutes.
- 83' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 3-4.
- 85' Nelson Weiper is replacing Dominik Kohr for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 90' A moment of madness from Michael Olise on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 71'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Nelson Weiper 85'
- 2
-
10
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Lennart Maloney 79'
- 4
- 21
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Anthony Caci 80'
- 20
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ William Boving 85'
- 6
Bench
-
19
Anthony Caci ↑ 80'
- 27
-
15
Lennart Maloney ↑ 79'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 71'
- 24
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 85'
- 22
-
14
William Boving ↑ 85'
- 48
Coach
Urs Fischer
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 22
- 27
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Michael Olise 46'
- 19
- 21
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 45
-
39
Bara Ndiaye ↓ Jonathan Tah 77'
Bench
-
9
Harry Kane ↑ 46'
- 1
-
4
Jonathan Tah ↑ 77'
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 57'
-
44
Josip Stanisic ↑ 57'
- 34
- 43
- 33
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–4
FC Bayern Munchen
L
2026-04-19
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2026-04-12
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2026-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2026-04-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–4
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-04-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-04-19
FC Bayern Munchen
4–2
VfB Stuttgart
W
2026-04-15
FC Bayern Munchen
4–3
Real Madrid CF
W
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern Munchen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.33
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
37%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
82%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen
82%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 3
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 4
6.1%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
1 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 4
4.4%
2 – 4
4.3%
1 – 5
4.1%
2 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +1 | 28% | 18% | 55% |
| +1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +2 | 45% | 19% | 36% |
| +2.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

