Friday , 9 October 2026

FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 27' 1–0
Michael Olise 40' 2–0
Eric Dier 84' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Bayern Munchen A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#2 Position #6
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
14 Scored 10
2 Conceded 6
+12 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' FC Bayern München have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Harry Kane, a England , has 36 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Danny da Costa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Joshua Kimmich has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 546 appearances.
  • 25' Kaishu Sano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
  • 27' FC Bayern Munchen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leroy Sane on 27.
  • 28' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Nikolas Veratschnig on, Anthony Caci off on 28 minutes.
  • 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
  • 40' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 10 goals this season for the .
  • 45' Controversy at the stadium! Harry Kane argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Min-Jae Kim exits the field as Sacha Boey enters on 46.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
  • 71' The 21-year-old Nelson Weiper has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 72' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Kingsley Coman comes on to replace Serge Gnabry.
  • 74' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Philipp Mwene exits the field as Nelson Weiper enters on 74.
  • 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 84' A stunning finish from Eric Dier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Leon Goretzka on, Aleksandar Pavlovic off on 84 minutes.
  • 86' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 86' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jonathan Burkardt exits the field as Armindo Sieb enters on 86.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Arnaud Nordin steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 88' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Harry Kane by Jonah Kusi-Asare on 88 minute.
  • 89' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern Munchen to win 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen78% Draw14% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
22%
FC Bayern Munchen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen64% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 056%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
5 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
6 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 45% — 55%
-2 45% 21% 34%
-1.5 66% — 34%
-1 66% 18% 17%
-0.5 83% — 17%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.