FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Bayern Munchen | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern Munchen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 3 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 14 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 6 |
| +12 | GD | +4 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 75% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season
FC Bayern Munchen this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern Munchen
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Bayern München have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Harry Kane, a England , has 36 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Danny da Costa suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Joshua Kimmich has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 546 appearances.
- 25' Kaishu Sano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
- 27' FC Bayern Munchen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Leroy Sane on 27.
- 28' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Nikolas Veratschnig on, Anthony Caci off on 28 minutes.
- 33' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 40' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 10 goals this season for the .
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Harry Kane argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Min-Jae Kim exits the field as Sacha Boey enters on 46.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 71' The 21-year-old Nelson Weiper has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 72' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Kingsley Coman comes on to replace Serge Gnabry.
- 74' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Philipp Mwene exits the field as Nelson Weiper enters on 74.
- 79' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' A stunning finish from Eric Dier — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Leon Goretzka on, Aleksandar Pavlovic off on 84 minutes.
- 86' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
- 86' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jonathan Burkardt exits the field as Armindo Sieb enters on 86.
- 87' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Arnaud Nordin steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 88' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Harry Kane by Jonah Kusi-Asare on 88 minute.
- 89' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 27
- 17
- 44
- 3
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 8
- 16
- 18
- 23
- 24
- 35
- 41
Coach
Vincent Kompany
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
- 25
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Arnaud Nordin 87'
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 87'
- 16
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 86'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 28'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2025-04-26
FC Bayern Munchen
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern Munchen
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern Munchen
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern Munchen
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern Munchen
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2025-04-04
FC Augsburg
1–3
FC Bayern Munchen
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
FC Bayern Munchen to win 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
22%
FC Bayern Munchen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
5 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
6 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen
| Handicap | FC Bayern Munchen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -2 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| -1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 18% | 17% |
| -0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

