1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Bayern Munchen

Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jae-sung Lee 41' 1–0

Jae-sung Lee 60' 2–0

2–1 87' Leroy Sane

Dominik Kohr 49' Y

Y 78' Joshua Kimmich

Philipp Mwene 90' Y

Y 90' Konrad Laimer

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Frank Willenborg
Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC Bayern Munchen

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-03-09 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern Munchen 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	FC Bayern Munchen	H	2–1	W
08 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–4	L
01 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–0	W
24 Nov	Holstein Kiel	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–2	L
10 Dec	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	A	5–1	W
07 Dec	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	4–2	W
03 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
26 Nov	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		FC Bayern Munchen
#6	Position	#2
7	Points	10
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 0
10	Scored	14
6	Conceded	2
+4	GD	+12
1.75	PPG	2.50
50%	Win %	75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

–/–

16-30

3/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/1

61-75

3/1

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	4 G	1 A
Harry Kane	3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic	1 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	1 G
Luis Diaz	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen is underway.
5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
10' Moritz Jenz, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' Armindo Sieb is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dominik Kohr suffering a number of foals already.
25' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
40' Stefan Bell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 44 cards already picked up this season.
41' Jae-sung Lee does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
49' Controversy at the stadium! Dominik Kohr argues furiously but the card stands.
54' Mathys Tel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
58' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Raphael Guerreiro by Sacha Boey on 58 minute.
60' Jae-sung Lee doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
64' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Eric Dier has done his job and it is now time for Mathys Tel to step up.
69' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
77' Karim Onisiwo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Armindo Sieb at the 77 minute mark.
78' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Joshua Kimmich gets a card.
83' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Paul Nebel trudges off to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong on 84 minutes.
87' Magnificent from Leroy Sane! That is 85 goals in 444 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Philipp Mwene.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

10
Leroy Sane
15
Eric Dier ↓ Mathys Tel 64'
6
Joshua Kimmich
25
Thomas Muller
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Sacha Boey 58'
27
Konrad Laimer
18
Daniel Peretz
17
Michael Olise
42
Jamal Musiala
3
Min-Jae Kim
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic ↓ Leon Goretzka 58'

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern Munchen W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

FC Bayern Munchen Form

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern Munchen L 2024-12-10 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1–5 FC Bayern Munchen W 2024-12-07 FC Bayern Munchen 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2024-12-03 FC Bayern Munchen 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern Munchen D 2024-11-26 FC Bayern Munchen 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.24 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.5 FC Bayern Munchen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw21% FC Bayern Munchen52%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

48%

Draw or FC Bayern Munchen

73%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern Munchen

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw37% FC Bayern Munchen47%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.9%

1 – 1

8.2%

0 – 2

7.5%

1 – 3

7.3%

0 – 3

6.1%

0 – 1

5.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 4

4.6%

2 – 3

4.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 4

3.8%

0 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	10%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	21%	43%
+1.5	57%	—	43%
+2	57%	19%	24%
+2.5	76%	—	24%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.