Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Watford FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Watford FC 4 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 4 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee David Webb

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	4	10
2	Queens Park Rangers FC	4	10
3	Charlton Athletic FC	4	10
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	4	7
5	Middlesbrough FC	4	7
6	Bristol City FC	4	7
7	West Bromwich Albion FC	4	7
8	Sheffield United FC	4	6
9	Birmingham City FC	4	6
10	Millwall FC	4	6
11	Wrexham AFC	4	5
12	West Ham United FC	4	5
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	4	5
14	Watford FC	4	5
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	4	4
16	Derby County FC	4	4
17	Lincoln City FC	4	4
18	Southampton FC	4	3
19	Cardiff City FC	4	3
20	Norwich City FC	4	3
21	Portsmouth FC	4	3
22	Stoke City FC	4	3
23	Burnley FC	4	2
24	Preston North End FC	4	0

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 6 games · Avg 2.7 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC 2024-08-24 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-02-19 Watford FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W
14 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–2	D
07 Feb	Southampton FC	A	0–1	L
03 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	0–0	D
31 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	0–2	L
24 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Watford FC		Derby County FC
#14	Position	#16
5	Points	4
4	Played	4
1 / 2 / 1	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 2
4	Scored	5
5	Conceded	7
-1	GD	-2
1.25	PPG	1.00
25%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 14th (5 pts). Derby County FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC

Amin Nabizada	2 G
Iker Bravo	1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard	1 G

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	2 G
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Pedro	2
Imran Louza	1
Will Hughes	1
William Troost-Ekong	1
Ebou Adams	1
Moussa Sissoko	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Edo Kayembe	1

Head to Head

Watford FC Form

2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC W 2026-02-14 Preston North End FC 2–2 Watford FC D 2026-02-07 Southampton FC 1–0 Watford FC L 2026-02-03 Hull City AFC 0–0 Watford FC D 2026-01-31 Watford FC 0–2 Swansea City AFC L 2026-01-24 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–1 Watford FC D

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-01-20 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.52 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC50% Draw26% Derby County FC24%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.62

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Derby County FC

50%

Watford FC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Watford FC32% Draw47% Derby County FC21%

Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

10.1%

0 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

4.1%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.