Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Derby County FC H 0–5 L
24 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
17 Jan Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
10 Jan Watford FC H 5–1 W
04 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
11 Jan Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Derby County FC
#8 Position #22
13 Points 5
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
11 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
-1 GD -7
1.63 PPG 0.63
50% Win % 13%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Scott Twine 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.45 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol City FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC34% Draw27% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
66%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC25% Draw43% Derby County FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.