Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Bristol City FC

0 – 5

Full Time

Derby County FC

Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tom Nield

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 12 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC 2025-08-22 Derby County FC 1–1 Bristol City FC 2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-31 Derby County FC 3–0 Bristol City FC 2022-04-23 Derby County FC 1–3 Bristol City FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jan	Derby County FC	H	0–5	L
24 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–0	W
20 Jan	Ipswich Town FC	A	0–2	L
17 Jan	Oxford United FC	A	0–0	D
10 Jan	Watford FC	H	5–1	W
04 Jan	Preston North End FC	H	0–2	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	A	2–1	W
17 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–0	W
11 Jan	Leeds United FC	H	1–3	L
04 Jan	Wrexham AFC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Derby County FC
#12	Position	#8
62	Points	69
46	Played	46
17 / 11 / 18	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
59	Scored	67
59	Conceded	59
+0	GD	+8
1.35	PPG	1.50
37%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bristol City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	2
Andreas Weimann	2
Famara Diedhiou	2
Filip Benkovic	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Jamie Paterson	1
Alex Scott	1
Jayden Bogle	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC L 2026-01-24 Bristol City FC 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-01-20 Ipswich Town FC 2–0 Bristol City FC L 2026-01-17 Oxford United FC 0–0 Bristol City FC D 2026-01-10 Bristol City FC 5–1 Watford FC W 2026-01-04 Bristol City FC 0–2 Preston North End FC L

Derby County FC Form

2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-01-20 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2026-01-17 Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-01-11 Derby County FC 1–3 Leeds United FC L 2026-01-04 Derby County FC 1–2 Wrexham AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.23 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.93 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC27% Draw26% Derby County FC47%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

53%

Draw or Derby County FC

73%

Bristol City FC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC19% Draw42% Derby County FC39%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted

0 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

11%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

7.9%

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 3

2 – 1

0 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 3

4.9%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

3.7%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	13%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.