Saturday , 7 November 2026

Vitoria SC vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
2 – 0
Full Time
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 20:30 UTC Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques 13,647 HT 45' · FT 45'
Samu 55' 1–0
Telmo Arcanjo 78' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Vitoria SC vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.

  • Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Vitoria SC 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals AVS

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb AVS H 2–0 W
26 Jan GD Estoril Praia A 0–1 L
18 Jan FC Arouca H 2–2 D
03 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 4–4 D
29 Dec SC Farense A 2–2 D
23 Dec CD Nacional H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Vitoria SC A 0–2 L
27 Jan Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
19 Jan CD Nacional A 1–3 L
04 Jan Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–1 D
21 Dec Boavista FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Vitoria SC
Arnel Jakupovic 2 G
Samu 1 G 1 A
Gustavo Silva 1 G
Alioune Ndoye 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Vitoria SC host AVS — let the battle begin!
  • 5' AVS are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Rodrigues is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AVS.
  • 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nuno Santos.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitoria SC that had 401 games and scored 374 goals.
  • 27' Bruno Varela needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 32' It looks surprising Vitoria SC does not make any changes. Cristian Castro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dieu Michel made 401 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' Rafael Rodrigues has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 44' Gustavo Assuncao catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
  • 45' It’s a booking for AVS player. Francisco Ochoa gets a card.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Assuncao on 47 minutes.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Jaume Grau on 50 minutes earns him a card. AVS will be frustrated.
  • 54' AVS make a change. Ze Luis trudges off to be replaced by Gustavo Mendonca on 54 minutes.
  • 55' Samu is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Ramos might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Vitoria SC! Nelson Oliveira comes on to replace Dieu Michel.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Vitoria SC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AVS's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 68' The Vitoria SC manager makes a substitution. Nuno Santos departs to be replaced by Joao Mendes.
  • 70' Fresh legs for AVS! Lucas Fernandes comes on to replace Jaume Grau.
  • 75' Aderlan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 78' Magnificent from Telmo Arcanjo! That is 5 goals in 172 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Vitoria SC and AVS are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 84' A change in the Vitoria SC ranks — Tomas Handel exits the field as Vando Felix enters on 84.
  • 85' It is a substitution in AVS team. Rafael Rodrigues is replaced by Yair Mena Palacios on 85 minute.
  • 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 AVS xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Vitoria SC49% Draw27% AVS24%
Actual: Vitoria SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Vitoria SC or Draw
76%
Draw or AVS
51%
Vitoria SC or AVS
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Vitoria SC34% Draw48% AVS18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC

Handicap Vitoria SC covers Push AVS covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
AVS keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.