Vitoria SC vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Vitoria SC vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
- Vitoria SC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 30 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico de Viseu FC | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicao | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitoria SC | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | CS Maritimo | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Rio Ave FC | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 10 | 7 |
| 17 | CD Nacional | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | AVS | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | GD Estoril Praia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jan | FC Arouca | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | H | 4–4 | D |
| 29 Dec | SC Farense | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Dec | CD Nacional | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Vitoria SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Jan | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Vitoria SC this season
Vitoria SC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Vitoria SC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Vitoria SC
| Arnel Jakupovic | 2 G | |
| Samu | 1 G | 1 A |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 G | |
| Alioune Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Vitoria SC host AVS — let the battle begin!
- 5' AVS are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rafael Rodrigues is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AVS.
- 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nuno Santos.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Vitoria SC that had 401 games and scored 374 goals.
- 27' Bruno Varela needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 32' It looks surprising Vitoria SC does not make any changes. Cristian Castro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dieu Michel made 401 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' Rafael Rodrigues has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 44' Gustavo Assuncao catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
- 45' It’s a booking for AVS player. Francisco Ochoa gets a card.
- 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Assuncao on 47 minutes.
- 50' A moment of madness from Jaume Grau on 50 minutes earns him a card. AVS will be frustrated.
- 54' AVS make a change. Ze Luis trudges off to be replaced by Gustavo Mendonca on 54 minutes.
- 55' Samu is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Ramos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' Fresh legs for Vitoria SC! Nelson Oliveira comes on to replace Dieu Michel.
- 66' It is a cagey affair so far. Vitoria SC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AVS's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 68' The Vitoria SC manager makes a substitution. Nuno Santos departs to be replaced by Joao Mendes.
- 70' Fresh legs for AVS! Lucas Fernandes comes on to replace Jaume Grau.
- 75' Aderlan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 78' Magnificent from Telmo Arcanjo! That is 5 goals in 172 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Vitoria SC and AVS are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' A change in the Vitoria SC ranks — Tomas Handel exits the field as Vando Felix enters on 84.
- 85' It is a substitution in AVS team. Rafael Rodrigues is replaced by Yair Mena Palacios on 85 minute.
- 90' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
Vitoria SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 24
- 3
- 14
- 10
- 77
- 18
- 8
- 2
- 13
- 86
Bench
- 7
- 17
- 27
- 9
- 11
- 15
- 92
- 5
- 21
Coach
Luis Freire
AVS Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
29
Ze Luis ↓ Gustavo Mendonca 54'
-
15
Jaume Grau ↓ Lucas Fernandes 70'
- 12
- 25
- 20
-
17
John Mercado ↓ Lucas Piazon 54'
- 3
- 13
- 33
- 4
- 42
Bench
-
14
Lucas Piazon ↑ 54'
- 18
- 88
-
7
Lucas Fernandes ↑ 70'
- 5
-
11
Babatunde Akinsola ↑ 70'
-
16
Yair Mena Palacios ↑ 85'
-
23
Gustavo Mendonca ↑ 54'
- 10
Coach
Daniel Ramos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Samu | 1 |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 1 |
| Gustavo Silva | 1 |
| Tomane | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Vitoria SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51
Vitoria SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
AVS xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Vitoria SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Vitoria SC or Draw
76%
Draw or AVS
51%
Vitoria SC or AVS
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Vitoria SC
| Handicap | Vitoria SC covers | Push | AVS covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
AVS keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

