CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Académico de Viseu FC | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense FC | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Famalicão | 11 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | CD Nacional | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | CS Marítimo | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CD Nacional
| Matchoi Djalo | 2 G | |
| Miguel Baeza | 2 G | |
| Abdel Kader Njoya | 2 G | |
| Liziero | 1 G | 1 A |
| Leo Santos | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio da Madeira will turn into a battlefield for CD Nacional and AVS.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Babatunde Akinsola, a Nigeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francisco Ochoa suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' Baptiste Roux has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
- 20' Bruno Costa adds to his 0 season tally! CD Nacional lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ulisses made 276 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' A stunning finish from Dudu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 39' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AVS's 3-4-3 shape.
- 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 46' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Isaac Aguiar by Joel Tagueu on 46 minute.
- 47' The AVS manager makes a substitution. Jaume Grau departs to be replaced by Nene.
- 48' Magnificent from Rodrigo Ribeiro! That is 5 goals in 520 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 51' The deadlock is broken! El Hadji Soumare gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tiago Margarido might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and AVS are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 69' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Daniel Penha is replaced by Matheus Dias.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! El Hadji Soumare argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AVS's compact 3-4-3.
- 76' The referee shows AVS player a card on 76.
- 78' Fresh legs for AVS! Yair Mena Palacios comes on to replace Fernando Fonseca.
- 79' The referee shows AVS player a card on 79.
- 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Ze Vitor argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Yair Mena Palacios catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' Andre Sousa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Esteves on 90 minute.
- Full Time. CD Nacional beats AVS
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Ruben Macedo 69'
- 37
- 8
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Matheus Dias 69'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Andre Sousa 90'
- 22
- 38
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Joel Tagueu 46'
-
27
El Hadji Soumare ↓ Leo Santos 90'
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
- 2
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 90'
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↑ 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 69'
- 1
- 98
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Tiago Margarido
AVS Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 14
-
24
Kiki ↓ Rafael Rodrigues 78'
- 5
-
15
Jaume Grau ↓ Nene 47'
- 12
- 2
- 6
- 20
- 17
- 13
- 42
Bench
-
18
Nene ↑ 47'
- 88
- 8
- 29
-
3
Rafael Rodrigues ↑ 78'
-
11
Babatunde Akinsola ↑ 47'
- 4
-
16
Yair Mena Palacios ↑ 78'
- 23
Coach
Daniel Ramos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Miguel Baeza | 1 |
| John Mercado | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Bruno Costa | 1 |
| El Hadji Soumare | 1 |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | 1 |
| Filipe Soares | 1 |
| Pedro Lima | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
AVS xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
78%
Draw or AVS
48%
CD Nacional or AVS
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | AVS covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.