Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
3 – 1
Full Time
AVS
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 2,061 HT 45' · FT 45'
Bruno Costa pen 20' 1–0
Dudu 34' 2–0
2–1 45+3' Rodrigo Ribeiro
El Hadji Soumare 45+6' 3–1
Y 19' Baptiste Roux
El Hadji Soumare 70' Y
Y 76' Lucas Piazon
Y 79' Gustavo Assuncao
Ze Vitor 86' Y
Y 90' Yair Mena Palacios

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

  • CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
  • AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals AVS
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-19 CD Nacional 3–1 AVS 2024-08-10 AVS 1–1 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan AVS H 3–1 W
12 Jan FC Porto H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rio Ave FC A 1–2 L
23 Dec Vitória SC A 2–2 D
19 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
14 Dec Moreirense FC H 1–0 W
AVS
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan CD Nacional A 1–3 L
04 Jan Moreirense FC A 1–1 D
28 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–1 D
21 Dec Boavista FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–1 D
08 Dec Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio da Madeira. CD Nacional are looking to make home advantage count against AVS.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' It’s high time Daniel Ramos made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. CD Nacional and AVS are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 19' Poor challenge from Baptiste Roux. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 20' What a moment for Bruno Costa! That strike on 20 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 25' Kiki, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tiago Margarido will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' Dudu doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' CD Nacional currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Joel Tagueu. He replaces Isaac Aguiar on 46 minute.
  • 47' AVS manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nene is hanging Jaume Grau on the field on 47 minute.
  • 48' GOAL! Rodrigo Ribeiro fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 51' Magnificent from El Hadji Soumare! That is 1 goals in 430 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' Babatunde Akinsola has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' AVS is showing some good football. However, AVS are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, John Mercado is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AVS.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Dias. He replaces Daniel Penha on 69 minute.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for El Hadji Soumare. He receives a card.
  • 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Lucas Piazon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' Time for substitution for AVS. Fernando Fonseca is replaced by Yair Mena Palacios.
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gustavo Assuncao.
  • 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and AVS are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 86' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yair Mena Palacios on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Fresh legs for CD Nacional! Andre Sousa comes on to replace Luis Esteves.
  • With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

AVS Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Ramos

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 AVS xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional52% Draw26% AVS22%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
78%
Draw or AVS
48%
CD Nacional or AVS
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional35% Draw48% AVS17%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push AVS covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.