CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
- AVS 33 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | CD Santa Clara | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | CS Marítimo | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Arouca | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | Moreirense FC | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Académico de Viseu FC | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | FC Famalicão | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | GD Estoril Praia | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Alverca | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitória SC | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave FC | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio da Madeira as CD Nacional face off against AVS in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' AVS come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francisco Ochoa suffering a number of foals already.
- 19' Baptiste Roux catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 19.
- 20' Goal! Bruno Costa scores his 7 goal in 491 matches.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Ramos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' CD Nacional is showing some good football. However, CD Nacional are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' What a moment for Dudu! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
- 39' CD Nacional currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 44' AVS have won 36 goals from 68 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' A tactical swap from CD Nacional — Joel Tagueu on, Isaac Aguiar off on 46 minutes.
- 47' Another substitution for AVS to replace Jaume Grau by Nene on 47 minute.
- 48' Rodrigo Ribeiro makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and AVS are in front.
- 51' El Hadji Soumare doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Cristian Castro, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 69' A change in the CD Nacional ranks — Daniel Penha exits the field as Matheus Dias enters on 69.
- 70' It’s gonna be a card for El Hadji Soumare.
- 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Piazon on 76.
- 78' The crowd applauds Fernando Fonseca as he leaves the pitch. Yair Mena Palacios steps in for AVS.
- 79' The referee shows AVS player a card on 79.
- 84' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AVS backline.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Ze Vitor argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yair Mena Palacios on 90 minutes.
- 90' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Luis Esteves by Andre Sousa on 90 minute.
- 3-1 the final result. AVS will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Ruben Macedo 69'
- 37
- 8
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Matheus Dias 69'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Andre Sousa 90'
- 22
- 38
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Joel Tagueu 46'
-
27
El Hadji Soumare ↓ Leo Santos 90'
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
- 2
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 90'
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↑ 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 69'
- 1
- 98
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Tiago Margarido
AVS Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 14
-
24
Kiki ↓ Rafael Rodrigues 78'
- 5
-
15
Jaume Grau ↓ Nene 47'
- 12
- 2
- 6
- 20
- 17
- 13
- 42
Bench
-
18
Nene ↑ 47'
- 88
- 8
- 29
-
3
Rafael Rodrigues ↑ 78'
-
11
Babatunde Akinsola ↑ 47'
- 4
-
16
Yair Mena Palacios ↑ 78'
- 23
Coach
Daniel Ramos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dudu | 1 |
| Bruno Costa | 1 |
| El Hadji Soumare | 1 |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | 1 |
| Filipe Soares | 1 |
| Pedro Lima | 1 |
| Guilherme Neiva | 1 |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
AVS xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
78%
Draw or AVS
48%
CD Nacional or AVS
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | AVS covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.