CD Nacional vs AVS, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs AVS — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- AVS 34 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | AVS | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Porto | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | CD Nacional | A | 1–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Boavista FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Casa Pia AC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | AVS | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #18 |
| 34 | Points | 21 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 3 / 12 / 19 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 45 | Conceded | 67 |
| -8 | GD | -40 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.62 |
| 26% | Win % | 9% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
15%
Clean Sheets
AVS this season
AVS this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). AVS are 18th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AVS
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AVS kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Dudu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 386 appearances.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Ramos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AVS's 3-4-3 shape.
- 19' That looks like a foul for a card for Baptiste Roux.
- 20' CD Nacional is taking the lead after the goal scored by Bruno Costa on 20.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Francisco Ochoa made 153 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CD Nacional and AVS are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' GOAL! Dudu scores on 34. Assisted by Luis Esteves
- 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 44' AVS started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 46' The crowd applauds Isaac Aguiar as he leaves the pitch. Joel Tagueu steps in for CD Nacional.
- 47' Another substitution for AVS to replace Jaume Grau by Nene on 47 minute.
- 48' What composure from Rodrigo Ribeiro! The Portugal international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 51' El Hadji Soumare doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' AVS have won 36 goals from 68 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 69' Matheus Dias is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Penha at the 69 minute mark.
- 70' CD Nacional receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 76' Lucas Piazon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Yair Mena Palacios. He replaces Fernando Fonseca on 78 minute.
- 79' That is a card for AVS. Gustavo Assuncao will be fuming at that decision.
- 84' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AVS backline.
- 86' CD Nacional player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yair Mena Palacios on 90.
- 90' Andre Sousa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luis Esteves on 90 minute.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. CD Nacional take all three points.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
99
Dudu ↓ Ruben Macedo 69'
- 37
- 8
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Matheus Dias 69'
-
10
Luis Esteves ↓ Andre Sousa 90'
- 22
- 38
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Joel Tagueu 46'
-
27
El Hadji Soumare ↓ Leo Santos 90'
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
34
Leo Santos ↑ 90'
- 2
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 90'
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↑ 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 69'
- 1
- 98
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 69'
- 15
Coach
Tiago Margarido
AVS Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 14
-
24
Kiki ↓ Rafael Rodrigues 78'
- 5
-
15
Jaume Grau ↓ Nene 47'
- 12
- 2
- 6
- 20
- 17
- 13
- 42
Bench
-
18
Nene ↑ 47'
- 88
- 8
- 29
-
3
Rafael Rodrigues ↑ 78'
-
11
Babatunde Akinsola ↑ 47'
- 4
-
16
Yair Mena Palacios ↑ 78'
- 23
Coach
Daniel Ramos
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| El Hadji Soumare | 1 |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | 1 |
| Filipe Soares | 1 |
| Pedro Lima | 1 |
| Guilherme Neiva | 1 |
| Miguel Baeza | 1 |
| John Mercado | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.84
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
AVS xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CD Nacional win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
83%
Draw or AVS
41%
CD Nacional or AVS
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CD Nacional win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | AVS covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
AVS keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.