V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 3 May 2026 · 08:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,630 HT 45' · FT 45'

Thiago Santana 29' 1–0

1–1 34' Kensuke Nagai

1–2 54' Kensuke Nagai

Matheus Jesus 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koei Koya
Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

V-Varen Nagasaki 13 games · Avg 2.6 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-05-12 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	6–7	L
18 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
11 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
05 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–3	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	2–1	W
29 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–0	W
19 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–2	D
11 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	2–3	L
04 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki		Nagoya Grampus
#9	Position	#3
21	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
25	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+2
1.17	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

0-15

–/2

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

4/4

61-75

–/1

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

Matheus Jesus	3 G
Thiago Santana	3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto	2 G

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mihailo Petrović will be considering his options from the bench.
15' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
20' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
29' GOAL! Thiago Santana fires home to make it 1-0!
34' Magnificent from Kensuke Nagai! That is 47 goals in 444 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
44' Ryosuke Yamanaka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for V-Varen Nagasaki so far.
49' It looks surprising V-Varen Nagasaki does not make any changes. Motoki Hasegawa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
54' Kensuke Nagai adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
59' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
64' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hijiri Onaga, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
69' V-Varen Nagasaki are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
74' Shungo Sugiura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with V-Varen Nagasaki winning 100% of all matches.
80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Jesus on 80.
85' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mihailo Petrović might look to freshen things up shortly.
90' Japan international Yuki Nogami has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takuya Takagi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mihailo Petrović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Musashi Suzuki	4
Musashi Suzuki	4
Keita Nakamura	3
Keita Nakamura	3
Jo	2
Jo	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Thiago Santana	2

Head to Head

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-04-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 6–7 Gamba Osaka L 2026-04-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-11 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2026-04-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2026-04-11 Vissel Kobe 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-04 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.33 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

V-Varen Nagasaki33% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus43%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw

57%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

67%

V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

V-Varen Nagasaki27% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 3

5.3%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

3.3%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap	V-Varen Nagasaki covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.