V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki

1 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 3 May 2026 · 08:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,630 HT 45' · FT 45'

Thiago Santana 29' 1–0

1–1 34' Kensuke Nagai

1–2 54' Kensuke Nagai

Matheus Jesus 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Koei Koya
Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda

5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

V-Varen Nagasaki 13 games · Avg 2.6 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-05-12 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	6–7	L
18 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–2	L
11 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
05 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–3	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 May	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	2–1	W
29 Apr	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	1–1	D
25 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–0	W
19 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–2	D
11 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	2–3	L
04 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki		Nagoya Grampus
#9	Position	#3
21	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
25	Scored	46
33	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+2
1.17	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

0-15

1/5

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/4

46-60

4/4

61-75

1/3

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

5/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/5

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/3

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

Thiago Santana	5 G
Kenshin Yasuda	5 G
Matheus Jesus	4 G	2 A
Tenmu Matsumoto	2 G

Nagoya Grampus

Yuya Yamagishi	3 G
Takuya Uchida	2 G	1 A
Yudai Kimura	2 G	1 A
Naomichi Ueda	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for V-Varen Nagasaki to score. At the same time, Nagoya Grampus does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' Masahito Ono needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
20' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
29' GOAL! Thiago Santana scores on 29. Assisted by Motoki Hasegawa
34' GOAL! Kensuke Nagai scores on 34. Assisted by Shungo Sugiura
39' Taichi Kikuchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
44' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
49' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
54' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kensuke Nagai makes no mistake. 1-2!
59' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ikki Arai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
69' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takuya Takagi might look to freshen things up shortly.
74' Shungo Sugiura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
79' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 449 games and scored 409 goals.
80' Matheus Jesus is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
85' V-Varen Nagasaki are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's 3-4-2-1 shape.
90' Shunya Yoneda has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takuya Takagi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mihailo Petrović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Musashi Suzuki	4
Musashi Suzuki	4
Keita Nakamura	3
Keita Nakamura	3
Jo	2
Jo	2
Kensuke Nagai	2
Thiago Santana	2

Head to Head

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-04-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 6–7 Gamba Osaka L 2026-04-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-11 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2026-04-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2026-04-11 Vissel Kobe 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-04 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.33 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct

V-Varen Nagasaki33% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus43%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes76% 0% No24%

Avg goals/match: 4.25

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	60%	40%
± 4.5	41%	59%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw

57%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

67%

V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

V-Varen Nagasaki27% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 3

5.3%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 2

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 3

3.4%

1 – 4

3.3%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap	V-Varen Nagasaki covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	15%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	18%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	14%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.