Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 – 2
Full Time
Nagoya Grampus
Sun 3 May 2026 · 08:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,630 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thiago Santana 29' 1–0
1–1 34' Kensuke Nagai
1–2 54' Kensuke Nagai
Matheus Jesus 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Kota Watanabe
  • Assistant 2 Bumpei Ueda
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

6
2
4
V-Varen Nagasaki 12 games · Avg 2.7 goals Nagoya Grampus
Last 5 meetings
2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-05-12 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
05 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–3 L
Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 2–1 W
29 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–0 W
19 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
11 Apr Vissel Kobe A 2–3 L
04 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–0 W

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus
#9 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
25 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
-8 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between V-Varen Nagasaki and Nagoya Grampus is underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Takuya Uchida suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 15' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Goal! Thiago Santana scores his 69 goal in 312 matches.
  • 34' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 437 matches.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hotaru Yamaguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 49' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 54' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 437 matches.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 64' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
  • 79' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Jesus on 80.
  • 85' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kensuke Nagai scoring 2 goals.
  • 90' The travelling Nagoya Grampus supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takuya Takagi

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mihailo Petrović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Musashi Suzuki 4
Musashi Suzuki 4
Keita Nakamura 3
Keita Nakamura 3
Jo 2
Jo 2
Kensuke Nagai 2
Naoki Maeda 1

Head to Head

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus 2026-02-21 Nagoya Grampus 1–3 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-09-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–4 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-05-12 V-Varen Nagasaki 3–0 Nagoya Grampus 2018-02-10 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-04-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 6–7 Gamba Osaka L 2026-04-18 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-11 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2026-04-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2026-04-19 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2026-04-11 Vissel Kobe 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-04 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki33% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus43%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
57%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
67%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki27% Draw36% Nagoya Grampus37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.3%
2 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 15% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 18% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.